Tough New MoT Could Boost UK Car Market by 5%

Published 04 May 2018

That’s because every car that fails the new MoT and cannot be economically repaired leaves a car owner without a car. 

Around 25,000,000 vehicles in the UK will need a fresh MoT over the coming year.

The enhanced MoT from 20th May covers many parts, such as Diesel Particulate Filters, not previously checked. If that leaves the vehicle with an economically unviable repair, it will have to be scrapped and replaced.

If an extra 1% of vehicles fail the new MoT to the extent they are uneconomical to repair, that is 250,000 in the first year. If an extra 2.5% fail, that is 625,000. If an extra 5% fail, the figure rises to 1,250,000, which is probably the maximum that failures are likely to reach.

That creates a hole in the market for 1,250,000 vehicles. Even though most MoT failures are likely to be replaced by used cars, disposal of those used cars could feed through to as many as 1,250,000 new cars.

Even if the figure is only 250,000 unrepairable MoT failures, that’s 250,000 more cars needed.

Which is why every sharp used car dealer in the country has been putting his stock through a fresh MoT prior to 20th May. And why it’s now virtually impossible to book an MoT appointment before 20th May.

So it seems highly likely that the overall downturn in UK car sales so far this year could be reversed by the new MoT test.

Comments

KJP 123    on 5 May 2018

Never knew that was purpose of MOT. My mum's old Fiesta may have to be replaced. She only goes to Sainsbury's and the library but replacing it with a more environmentally sound car would be good: if you ignore environmental cost of building the new car.

plmval    on 6 May 2018

New MOT Increases Environmental Costs Per Mile

New MOT stricter pass criteria will lead to increased failure rates rendering proportionately more serviceable vehicles beyond economic repair and to them being scrapped prematurely, increasing each vehicles whole life environmental per unit mile utilisation costs.

Conspicuous consumption of newer vehicles to “increase economic output to boost the economy “ is smoke & mirrors hoodwinking of the population by government ruling elite big business.

A cynical smoke & mirrors propaganda ploy to maximise profits without regard to the true environmental cost to the environment & the ordinary people who suffer its consequences.

PLMVAL

conman    on 8 May 2018

Stupid Politicians did not understand when the point was raised to increase the MOT to 4 years for the first MOT. It should have been every 2 years as in most European countries. Any European car that is driven in the UK has a 2 year MOT certificate.

Thierry    on 11 May 2018

Stupid Politicians did not understand when the point was raised to increase the MOT to 4 years for the first MOT. It should have been every 2 years as in most European countries. Any European car that is driven in the UK has a 2 year MOT certificate.

France have just reduced their MOT (Controlle Technique) to annual instead of two years to bring them in one with the rest of Europe.

Bigsphinx    on 10 May 2018

It's about time the MOT was toughened up. We've all driven behind cars which belch out black diesel smoke as soon as the driver accelerates. Or petrol engined cars emitting a headachy plume of pollution that makes you hang back and close all windows. Even worse are the cars too old to have any form of filters or catalysts.

For people who only drive to Tescos once a week, there are plenty of first generation electric cars. Fairly new Nissan Leafs and Renault Zöes for example from about five or six grand and very low running costs to set against purchase price.

Keith Moat    on 10 May 2018

First generation electric cars are nearer the £8-10k mark and when you factor in the £5k price of a replacement battery due at around 5-6 years old that's £13-15k. It's good that the "headachy plume of pollution" is preventing tailgating.

Bigsphinx    on 11 May 2018

First generation electric cars are nearer the £8-10k mark and when you factor in the £5k price of a replacement battery due at around 5-6 years old that's £13-15k. It's good that the "headachy plume of pollution" is preventing tailgating.

Just looking on this site I can see many at much lower cost. As for the battery, if people are only driving to Tescos once a week, the battery is not going to be an issue. Also, I read a reply to a query on Honest John, that there are electric vehicles on the road with their original batteries that have lasted over 100,000 miles and still going strong.

I live in town, use my car most days but the average distance I need to drive is less than 10 miles with the occasional 50 mile round trip. An electric vehicle would suit my needs but for driving to my daughter and when we go on holiday. If the rental firms were honest in their dealings I would consider hiring a vehicle for those occasions. If things change and small, car-sized pick-ups become available I would give one serious thought as the current crop of electric cars are a bit too small due to the constaints of battery size and location for my needs.

Don1988    on 10 May 2018

Agreed I see at least one every day which probably emits more pollution in one go than 100's of cars.

However it could lead to more uninsured cars on the road.

Ron Carthy    on 10 May 2018

For many people "five or six grand" is far from cheap and well beyond their means. As pointed out above the main environmental impact of a car is its initial assembly. If we were really environmentally aware we would be seeking to prolong not shorten the life of cars by developing cost effective means to meet higher pollution and other standards. But the growth at any cost mentality rules

   on 10 May 2018

Of course many of the new cars bought as a result of all this will have been built outside the UK and so will be imports which in turn will damage the country's balance of payments. With the decline in the value of sterling and price increases due to increased demand and the new car taxes it will be increasingly expensive to buy a new car. That then leads on to the various financing methods and the flaws that may appear there. Unintended consequences resulting from politicians who live in a bubble and who only react to the last newspaper headline.

Peter Axworthy    on 11 May 2018

Everything is being made harder for the mere mortals on the street. The new MOT will make a misery out of the people who own older cars. The enviroment issue really is a miss nomer because for every hundred thousand run abouts that get off the drive {My mother law going shopping once a week with a 3 mile trip} a huge coal using power plant somewhere in the world will spew out thousand of tons of emmisions. This where my mother in law will be punnished more for driving once a week. Well I don't know if that helps but I really think there is more to the new MOT than we think. More money out of us perhaps?

GTC20th    on 10 May 2018

Sadly this merely shows how little the Government really cares about the people who voted for them. I run a 12 year old car because that is what I can afford. I need a car, cycling is stupid and dangerous, and public transport is expensive and ineffective, so how are me and my family supposed to travel if my car fails the new MOT? I cannot afford the ludicrous prices for so called environmentally friendly cars, and I refuse to go into huge amounts of debt to buy one. Would it not have been fairer to propose a cut off date in, say, 5 years, when we would have to change? Also, like most people, I am very dubious about the environmental guff which some in government pretend to believe. It's all going to hell in a hand cart.

P Menzies    on 10 May 2018

Cars are going down the same road as domestic appliances, non repairable.I said this as a joke a few years ago but it's coming true. When I was an apprentice dynamos,batteries(yes batteries),brake shoes etc.were repaired, now you buy a new one. This is very green isn't!

Gordon Ennis    on 11 May 2018

Once again the motorist is being bullied off the road by the so called powers that be.
They all totally ignore the true polluters of this planet which are the 1,000,000 people who are flying all over the world at any given moment 24 / 7 / 365. This is the real source of pollution and add on the massive number of ships with their mega diesel engines pumping out pollution on a daily basis all over our oceans. I own a classic 25 year old low mileage rust free MX5 which has just sailed through it's MOT with no advisories. I travel about 5,000 a year and as I live in the countryside have no other form of transport. With regard to electric vehicles why did the USA government stifle TESLA'S electric motor that used the earths magnetic field as it's power source, way back in the 1930's. Because the oil barons wanted to sell their products and don't care a hoot about pollution or anything else so long as their profits keep rolling in.
Get Mr President Trump to release the supressed information, it's just the sort of thing he would like to do to the Washington establishment !

Imphal    on 11 May 2018

It really takes a brain to pollute the planet with the heaviest oil container giants to bring the new cars and luxury goods across thousands of miles of ocean and then to expedite the have it alls by guzzling flying giants.

Grind the (substitute) down is the continuing political goal..

And green is the colour of envy.

Robbutt    on 12 May 2018

I do not think this test is all about pollution, over the last few years I have had many cars get advisories for 'rust' on the ferules of flexi brake pipes and that the brake pads are 'low' the last set I took out to change had 9mm of friction material on them plus the backing plate. It seems this is easy work for garages and gives a good profit margin. Yes brakes are a key safety item but I feel parts are replaced when they are not at the end of their working life, again contributing to the pollution of the environment by replacing items when they have many miles of service left in them.

Murray Snudge    on 21 May 2018

The additional requrements for the new mot test will not affect my 1991 Ford Escort diesel.

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