Road pricing - pay as you drive - Cliff Pope
This idea is often trumpeted as an "alternative" way to pay for road use, implying that if adopted it would replace other forms of pricing, eg the road fund licence or fuel tax. On that basis, probably many people would support it.
But is that really how it will work? Are motorists in Norfolk for example now to be the subjects of a pilot scheme to be given exemption from road tax? How will that work if they drive outside the test area?
Or is the whole idea simply a way of raising even more money, without any intention of it being an alternative to conventional pricing?
Road pricing - pay as you drive - teabelly
It's just to raise money. There is a huge black hole in public finances and grabber brown has to get it where he can. Road pricing will be in addition to already swingeing taxes. A 2 litre mondeo will soon be out of reach for an average family as they're on about adding £3000 in congestion charges on top of current fuel tax and on top of an increased road tax level of a few grand. That will basically double the cost of that car for an average family. With council tax increases too no-one will be able to afford to live here if they want to eat too. Too bad it will mean that family will end up on benefits and probably homeless thus costing the tax payer far more than the road tax and other taxes he will rake in.

On the plus side it means all the peasants will be off the roads so the rich can have the roads back without the plebs slowing them down. Buses will be unaffordable too as they will have the monopoly on transport as more people are priced out of their cars. It will be back to the halcyon days of the 1920s and 1930s where no-one but the aristos and a few rich business people could travel. Wot ho, Bertie :-) Quite an achievement for an allegedly socialist government. Won't matter to MPs as they will still claim their travel expenses for their jags.
teabelly
Road pricing - pay as you drive - Xileno {P}
Daft idea. They should just put the extra cost on the fuel.
Road pricing - pay as you drive - v0n
So far every single plan included presumption the fee would be variable and depend on time of day and traffic conditions. We can not allow again a situation where its in someone's best interest to create more congestion (and thus charge more per mile) or we will never see the end of queues. It will be just like now with Congestion Charge - half of the capital is clogged because of desynced lights and lowered speed limits which were made to prove expansion of the zone is neccessary and the rest is clogged because such zone exists and everyone has to drive around it. Because it's a money making venture it is in best interest of the controlers to keep the traffic flow as bad and as desperate to enter the CC zone as possible.

There are very simple ways of de-congesting the roads, none of which were tried so far. One would be watchdog over public transport prices - it's ridiculous that flight to Dublin costs less than a daily peak time 32 mile journey from Medway to London and back. Full stop. End of. Second would be breaking 9-5/10-6 culture. There is no reason for most offices to start in the same time as shops. There is no reason why most production should follow office hours. It's insane. It's unthinkable. It has to change. Third is very simple - the less infrastructure for parking - the worse traffic flow. Schools should get over the idea of "we don't want people to drop of kids". Well, people do, it's not going to change, deal with it, give them space to drop those kids off or they will clog the roads for miles. Same with shoppers, same with deliveries, same with private cars swarming around train stations. There is no reason why any of the ideas above
--------------------
[Nissan 2.2 dCi are NOT Renault engines. Grrr...]
Road pricing - pay as you drive - teabelly
Putting it on fuel would be the simple, fair and equitable way of doing it. But it won't give money to whoever makes all the IT equipment and has the contracts for all this over complicated technology. It also won't allow the govt to snoop on everyone's travel either. The reason they are looking at this is that cars are more and more fuel efficient so their tax takes are down and they just like interfering into people's lives to make them as difficult as possible.

Easy answer is that everyone just refuses to travel anywhere if this crackpot scheme is ever attempted. Road haulage stops, people get hungry, a few fat people faint through lack of junk food; they'll change their mind within a couple of days....
teabelly
Road pricing - pay as you drive - TheOilBurner
Hmm....yes, we have Pay As You Drive road pricing - it's called fuel duty! Only this gov't could get away with suggesting charging us the same tax twice, but collected via different means!

I reckon the problem is that too many people have moved towards more efficient vehicles in response to high fuel taxes, so, to re-coup the lost revenue the government is trying to change the tax system so that it has nothing to do with the fuel economy or pollution of your car, but on this scaremongering about congestion reaching grid lock...which of course, it will never do. There's only so many people, and some of us will always opt for alternatives of our own good will if the roads get *too* bad. Which they clearly haven't, as we all seem to manage to get to work on time still!
Road pricing - pay as you drive - Dipstick
I disagree with the concept that fuel duty is down.

If my car is ten percent more efficient than the one I was driving twenty years ago, then yes, that's ten percent less fuel duty I'm paying. But in that twenty years I'll bet more cars have hit the road, and the fuel duty take has gone up. Otherwise we wouldn't be having the congestion discussion at all.

Losses of duty due to increased efficiency are likely to be at least offset by an increase in vehicle numbers I would have thought.

Road pricing - pay as you drive - TheOilBurner
We're not talking about 20 years though, only in the last 5-10 years have diesel engines and general fuel economy improvements really took off. Lots of people are downsizing to smaller cars too, even if the actual cars themselves are getting bigger.

Since then, fuel duty has hardly moved up at all and overall traffic levels are relatively constant, no matter what the nanny state types would tell you.

The only proof of course, would be to see the actual average fuel economy vs total miles driven over the past few years. That could be a tricky stat to find.
Road pricing - pay as you drive - tilda99
mmmm, so the aim of all this is to have less congestion? And 1 in 5 cars are uninsured and untaxed? I think I know how to cut congestion by 20%....... enforcement.

But I feel the aim is to raise more money - and 'they' know that most people will just keep on doing the same old thing, but just pay more to do it.

T
Road pricing - pay as you drive - TheOilBurner
On congestion:

In 1983 there were 20 million cars on the road.

By 2003 there were 24 million cars on the road.

(Source: car haters par excellance Transport 2000)

Hardly a massive growth over 2 decades.

Car haters like to quote things like "Number of cars has increased ten fold since 1955". Whilst that is true, it gives the impression that car numbers are continuing to grow at that rapid rate. They're not. Especially if you factor out the increasingly common second and third cars in families that actually do very few miles, or are just kept as classics etc.

As for the extra miles we're all driving, that's called economic growth, otherwise considered a "good thing". :)
Road pricing - pay as you drive - The Lawman
Of course it is to raise moeny. Anyone who thinks that any road pricing scheme will be revenue neutral is living in cloud-cuckoo land.

I see that one of the proposals is to charge people for driving into Norwich at rush hour. since I have lived in Norfolk I have seen all but one of the multistories closed down and none replaced. On street parking charges have been introduced. Residential parking schemes have been introduced. Have council tax bills gone down? Not on your nelly.

I no longer drive into Norwich as it is now such an unpleasant experience. I do my shopping somewhere else.
Road pricing - pay as you drive - DP
It's a con. Public transport runs at capacity in peak time - even a 1% shift from road to rail or bus would make the system fall over. The figures being banded about in the press this week suggest a £2 per mile charge on the most congested roads. So tthat'll be every motorway near, or route into, every major city in the country then.

Road congestion is caused by commuters, plain and simple. It's easy to prove - drive straight into any city (even London) on a Saturday or Sunday, and then do the same route at the same time on a weekday. Commuters do not commute through choice.

Tax breaks for companies who allow flexible hours or home working is the answer. Get all these people who could easily work from home or travel at different times off the road, giving those who can't an easier time. Technology exists now for most office based staff to work from the Moon if the mood took them.

Give the rest of the people an integrated public transport system with enough spare capacity that it is a viable option, and clearer roads for those who can't use it. Give people an alternative, for heaven's sake.

I believe this ludicrous idea, if introduced, will damage the economy, cost jobs, and send us spiralling even further down the competitiveness league tables. At £2 per mile, I could no longer afford to get to work. Where's the sense in that?

Cheers
DP
Road pricing - pay as you drive - local yokel
I'm one of the few that will benefit. I work from home, rarely drive the car on major routes in rush hour, and we don't do a school run as our kids go to school by train. SWMBO drives 3 miles EW on B roads to town most days for gym and light shopping, and I visit my customers twice a year on a shiny Boeing that takes me across to the US and back.

My longest journey this week will be the 35 mile EW trip on Sunday to run in race. I hesitate to say bring it on, as the ramifications might be a lot worse than the RFL and fuel duty I pay.
Road pricing - pay as you drive - Baskerville
>>Commuters do not commute
through choice.


I disgree: the commute they have is their choice in most cases. Here's an example. A mate of mine--a life-long townie--used to live in a nice big house with a nice big garden in an affluent suburb in Liverpool (yes, really, they have them there). He walked to work. Then he took it upon himself to go country and bought a nice big house in a nice Cheshire village with no relevant public transport. Now he drives to work and complains incessantly about the traffic. His choice. He's not alone.
Road pricing - pay as you drive - TheOilBurner
That's one case. How about mine. I work in one area, SWMBO works in another, 30 miles away. Both employers are about 25 miles away from our house.

Therefore, one or both of us must commute regardless of where we live. As I've changed jobs 5 times since moving to our current house, and SWMBO is thinking of doing the same soon, which employer do we move next to?

The answer, of course is that we don't move at all, we just have to put up with commuting. Especially since we have family and friends in the area where we live, and a child about to start school.

Moving to suit the job just isn't viable. I know we're alone in this kind of dilemma.
Road pricing - pay as you drive - TheOilBurner
"I know we're alone in this kind of dilemma."

You know what I really meant.... ;) *not* alone...
Road pricing - pay as you drive - Ruperts Trooper
Fuel tax is already road pricing in operation.

It achieves it's objective of charging more for those who drive greater mileages and/or use larger vehicles. Because of congestion it also charges those stuck in traffic jams!

Changing to any other scheme will simply cost taxpayers, due to set-up costs, but with no tangible benefit to the Exchequer or taxpayers. I'm not advocating it but more tax can be raised simply by increasing fuel duty, with no additional collection costs. It will however provide employment for several thousand bureaucrats!
Road pricing - pay as you drive - DP
Couldn't agree more OilBurner

When I moved to my current house in Hampshire I was in a home based job so it didn't actually matter where I lived. We chose our location because of friends and family, and being just 4 miles from SWMBO's work.

After 3 months, SWMBO's employer gave her a choice to relocate to an office 30 miles away or find another job. She could not find another job in time and at the time we couldn't afford the risk of her being unemployed so she had to go. Bye bye 8 miles a day, hello 60 miles a day.

Then my employer ran into financial trouble and started rounds of redundancies, and I started looking for alternative work before it hit the fan. All the positions I could find that utilised my skillset and experience were 30-100 miles away. I ended up working in Central London, and received my redundancy notice on the day I took the second interview.

Circumstances change, most people don't have a choice, and while I appreciate there are people who choose to move away from their work and take on a commute, it is not practical to uproot your life every time you change jobs, when things happen the other way around. The estate agent fees, stamp duty and conveyancing fees alone would be unsustainable, not to mention the effect on the family.

Cheers
DP
Road pricing - pay as you drive - TheOilBurner
Ah yes, good old stamp duty. Or, you're taxed if you do, taxed if you don't !! i.e. choose your poison stamp duty or road charging?
Road pricing - pay as you drive - smokie
"She could not find another job in time and at the time we couldn't afford the risk of her being unemployed so she had to go. "

I had a cat once which started costing me a fortune in vet's fees. I used the same solution. Bit drastic for your partner though... ! :-)
Road pricing - pay as you drive - DP
Bit drastic for
your partner though... ! :-)


Sounds perfectly reasonable to me! :-)
Road pricing - pay as you drive - Ravenger
I was in a similar situation to DP and Oilburner. I moved up north about 10 years ago to get away from spending 2 hours each way and thousands of pounds commuting from Kent to London.

At the time my son was pre-school age, and my wife is a housewife so moving wasn't a major issue. I bought a house about 20 minutes walk to work, and spent the next 7 years working locally, while my children ( my daughter was born a few years after the move) grew up, and entered school and my wife settled into local community.

Then a couple of years ago the firm I worked for closed down. The nearest job I could get was 30 miles away, via a motorway. Rather than spend thousands moving house, and uprooting my family I decided to commute. Luckily two of my ex-colleagues also got jobs at this new firm, so we car share.

I don't commute out of choice. I moved once to avoid commuting in London, but I could do that because I was younger and had fewer responsibilities. It'd be much more difficult now, especially now that house prices are so extreme.

Road pricing - pay as you drive - Baskerville
As a society we have chosen this way of living and that choice has been made possible by the car, which is now creating a new problem. We won't be told where to live (and quite right too), but we do respond to the market. Congestion costs businesses a lot of money and I reckon it's the duty of the government to manipulate the market (in this case through charging) to keep the conditions sweet for business.

I have another example for you. Two academics. One lives in Lancaster with his family and works in Liverpool. The other lives in Liverpool with his family and works in Lancaster. They are in similar subject areas and could swap jobs. 30 years ago they wouldn't be doing it this way. But of course it doesn't work like that. I'll bet similar situations occur in large companies with branches all over the place.
Road pricing - pay as you drive - TheOilBurner
I agree in principle with your argument.

The problem is, for your two academics in Liverpool and Lancaster to swap and work in the local area, the following have to be true (to generalise your point across the population, because few in reality will be such clean and easy swaps):

a) the two jobs both come on the market at the same time
b) the two jobs are interchangeable in all ways, i.e. both individuals are fully qualified for them
c) the individuals concerned have no spouses or their spouses will do a commute that is no worse than at present after the move
d) they both fit in and are actually offered the job at the other employer
e) neither of them has to take a pay cut
f) no kids or dependent relatives will be severely impacted by the move
g) both individuals can afford to move house

Make all the above happen with road charging alone!

Even if you accept the jobs are truly interchangeable and that no job applications etc are required, just a simple request to swap locations, then points c, f & g still applies!
Road pricing - pay as you drive - Baskerville
Indeed. It took us 30 years to get into this mess and it will take us 30 to get out (and then the law of unintended consequences will cut in again).

House prices are the big issue in my opinion. It's pretty much essential to have two incomes to finance a house now, so people can't take the risk of lower paid jobs, or no job while they look for one locally.
Road pricing - pay as you drive - turbo11
Your not alone oilBurner.My wife is a ward sister at our local ! hospital 20 miles from us.She can only get to work by car and as she works earlies lates and nights intermixed,car sharing is not an option.I on the other hand work 72 miles in the opposite direction,using the M40 and M25 for my daily commute. As I live in a rural area and start work at 7.30 every day this makes the use of public transport impossible.Road pricing would make my commute to work unaffordable(even at half the proposed level)
Last week we had dinner with friends.He is a senior civil servant with the Department Of Transport.After a strong line of questioning(I got quite irate and animated)about road pricing, green taxes etc. I came to the conclusion (he had no answers to some of my questions)that the government just want to seperate you from your hard earned money.Maybe instead of working my nuts off I should give up and sponge off the state.It seems to becoming a better option nowadays.
Road pricing - pay as you drive - Roly93
>>Commuters do not commute
>> through choice.

I think one of the main reasons we are a country on the move is that unlike in times gone by when a guy would move his family to be near the new job, there are now so few jobs with a long term future no-one wants to go to the upheaval and cost of moving to something else which may not have any long term prospects. I work for a technology company where this is certainly the case.
Road pricing - pay as you drive - Kevin
Reading Borough Council has been awarded £680K to research ways of tackling congestion. The study will be conducted on the A33 and A327 and could include trials of a pay-as-you-drive scheme.

So, we're giving an admitted anti-motorist bunch of bureaucrats £680K of taxpayer's money (Note to BBC. There's NO such thing as 'GOVERNMENT' money!) to fund trials of road pricing.

Douglas Alexander, secretary of state for transport, said: "This work could lead to pilots, which will help to inform discussion on a national road pricing scheme."

So, let's see if the Backroom can save the taxpayer £680K and write the report for them shall we?

Here's a starter:

"The results of Reading Borough Council's study have shown that there is no doubt that pay-as-you-drive schemes can dramatically reduce congestion and improve journey times. As can be seen from the data in Table 1 (below), the simple introduction of a nominal charge resulted in an immediate drop of 20% in the amount of traffic using a particular route. Further reductions were attained by exponentially increasing the charge to achieve desired traffic levels.

Please note that reports of increased accident rates on non-trunk routes, and complaints from residents along those routes, were not recorded and would need to be subject to further study, grants permitting."

Additions and corrections welcome.

Kevin...
Road pricing - pay as you drive - runboy
Slightly off topic, but our local council wants to charge residents parking permits in relation to car length as a means to cut pollution.......

I wonder what they were drinking at the time of that idea?

A brand new 1.6 VW Passat would cost more than a 15 year old 2litre Golf.....I wonder which pumps out the most nasties?
Road pricing - pay as you drive - jase1
> It's a con. Public transport runs at capacity in peak time - even a 1% shift from road to rail or bus would make the system fall over.

I hate to be political, but this is yet another example of Maggie's legacy. In many if not most cities in the UK up until the 1980s we had a municipally-run integrated public transport system, which could be planned and expanded as the need required. Excellent services such as the Tyneside Metro, which were run by Tyne & Wear PTE could be linked up with the bus services and the local BR rail services. It wasn't perfect but it could be controlled.

This was all torn down by the deregulation, leading to farcical episodes like the Darlington bus wars and finally to a fragmented and uncontrolled public transport system. This may have saved some money in the short term, but it has led to a system that cannot be controlled.

If the local/national government so desired to pump the tax from car usage to the public transport system in order to reduce congestion, this is no longer possible, thanks to deregulation -- which leads to the perfectly understandable position of the average British driver that people are out to get them with increased charges -- because essentially they are being victimised.

It should not be this way -- most other civilised countries have this simple equation sussed, ironically modelling a lot of it on the state-regulated systems we pioneered in the first place.

You reap what you sow -- and this country is certainly reaping.
Road pricing - pay as you drive - GregSwain
When "pay as you drive" road pricing is introduced, I'm on the first plane out of this country. I can put up with people watching me on cameras and knowing my personal details, but when they start tracking where I drive and billing me for the privilege, that's me out. It may well be Maggie's legacy, but this so-called Labour government is making things worse.

I'd vote for a government that, transparently and honestly, took more tax out of my income, in favour of mortgaging the NHS to private companies, replacing traffic policemen with yellow boxes, and putting a huge premium on essentials which are deemed by the few to be "harmful" to the environment. But, that's not likely to happen - politicians tend to be wind-powered.
Road pricing - pay as you drive - Mr.Tee.43
How will they ever police this,given the dire heritage of past IT projects.

False number plates and a bit of tin foil should do the trick !

Not that I would advocate such a crime :-0
Road pricing - pay as you drive - TheOilBurner
Well, the technology already works. They only need to make it so that 95-99% of the population comply, whether they are trying to circumvent the system or not.

I would expect that most people would just accept it, a few would try to by-pass it or fool it and fail and fewer still will actually find a way round it or disable it without getting caught. Would it be worth the risk of the fines and criminal records however? :(
Road pricing - pay as you drive - Mr.Tee.43
How does the technology work ?

Road pricing - pay as you drive - TheOilBurner
"How does the technology work?"

Take a deep breath...

You can use a combination of GPS receiver and mobile phone technology. The GPS will record the location of the vehicle, the mobile phone sends regular updates (it doesn't need a constant connection) to a control database telling the government a) where you are, b) how fast you are traveling and c) your direction of travel.

The central database therefore knows which road you were on (and so how much to charge), how long you spent on it and how fast you traveled at different points (relative to the speed limit) and time spent along the total journey.

The GPS units are surprisingly accurate. It's not like sat-nav where the system might not know which road you're on - all the GPS needs to record are your co-ordinates, which it does very well. The central database can then work out where you are from those co-ordinates.

If you pass into a tunnel, the signal would be lost, but it would be obvious from the road you're on and direction of travel where you are, and a simple matter to work out where you've been once the signal is restored. More advanced GPS units employ sensors to record the direction and speed of movement when signals are lost, so that you're still being watched and then compliment this data with the information from the GPS receiver itself.

It's really not that complicated, the hardware is there and has been trialled already. The database hasn't got to manage particularly complicated information, only keep track of your current status and total charges incurred so-far, the complete record of every journey in detail would probably be archived continuously away for further inspection by the Police if required.

If you think the IT side couldn't handle it, then think again. Yes there is a lot of data generated, but it would be managed by several large data centres, breaking up the many different feeds from the mobile network. Also, the mobile units in the car would only broadcast accumulated data at certain intervals, so that the actual amount of data to process centrally at any one time would be quite manageable. If all 30 million or so vehicles move around all day long, you'd generate a few hundred million start of road, end of road (with time stamps) events per day for the detailed journey records - no big deal. The activate database for billing would only deal with 30 million records, updated a few hundred times a day, nothing major for IT these days.

The amount of data is large but not unmanageable. Ask the phone networks about how they know exactly where, when, how long and how much each of the millions of phone calls made on their networks daily are recorded. If they can do with IT systems that date from the mid-90s, imagine what you can do these days.

As for trying to "fool" the system, there's a new network of ANPR cameras (automatic number plate recognition) being deployed right now. ANPR will be used to detect tax and insurance evasion, possibly speeding too. If you get picked up by that (you will do, it's going to have coverage for all major roads) but are not transmitting data from your in-car tracker then they've got you right there and then. It doesn't matter how clever you are, the system would know you've disabled the tracking device by the absence of data retrieved at the time of scanning via ANPR.

The only true way around will be by not registering the car in your real name or address on your car. I'm sure people will do that, but not the vast majority of us who don't want to live as criminals, no matter how much we might detest the road charging scheme - most of us have too much too lose.
You can easily imagine though, in a few years the tracking technology will be so integrated with the car's electronics, that not having a valid payment account (that's paid up to date) with the DVLA with result in the car refusing to start. You read it here folks. You may try to cling on to reports about teething troubles in various trials, but technology never stands still, the bugs will be ironed out and the working system will be here far quicker than you might expect.
Road pricing - pay as you drive - DP
I'd vote for a government that, transparently and honestly, took more
tax out of my income, in favour of mortgaging the NHS
to private companies, replacing traffic policemen with yellow boxes, and putting
a huge premium on essentials which are deemed by the few
to be "harmful" to the environment.


Very well put, and you can bet your bottom dollar "the environment" and "climate change" will be the major guilt trip / excuse laid on by the government to force us into accepting this technology.

I have read some very strong evidence against the theory of CO2 triggered global warming this week. I read that about 30 million years ago, according to fossil records there was both a 30x higher concentration of carbon in the atmosphere, and an Ice Age occurring at the same time. Why is this not trumpeted all over the nightly news in the same way that the latest doom stories are whenever Greenpeace or one of the other lot come up with their latest depressing statistics. Did you also know that there are glaciers in Greenland that are currently advancing, and while land temperatures have increased worryingly in the past few decades, atmospheric temperatures show no perceptible warming increase in the last 100 years? A bit odd for what is supposed to be an atmospheric phenomenon, surely.

I'm not a conspiracy theorist, but you'd have to be stupid to miss the link between this, the one-sided reporting of the theories and facts, and the government's enthusiasm for the revenue raising potential (of which road pricing is just one), that surrounds this theory, combined with a lack of real drive to do anything constructive about it that doesn't involve extorting more money from the public. There are other, revenue neutral ways to combat congestion that would be quicker and easier to implement that simply don't even enter the equation. Why not?

I tend to agree with you - I would look very seriously at emigration when/if this comes into force. I don't want to be tracked, and I don't want to be forced into quitting my job because I can't afford to get there, when the excuse for it is science which is devoid of two-sided debate, and whose dissenters are shouted down and publicly discredited by what can only be described as an increasing number of self interested environmental fascists.

Rant over!

Cheers
DP
Road pricing - pay as you drive - andymc {P}
DP, I'm not defending the government for a second - I'm quite cynical about politicians of all colours - but feel obliged to ask if you have read into the evidence supporting the theories of human-accelerated climate change with the same enthusiasm and acceptance as you did the arguments against it.

"I read that about 30 million years ago, according to fossil records there was both a 30x higher concentration of carbon in the atmosphere, and an Ice Age occurring at the same time. "

Sure - but was life as we know it flourishing under those conditions? Of course the climate of the planet has fluctuated significantly ever since it had an atmosphere. There was also a time when the earth's surface was volcanic and the air full of sulphur. The period you mention (30 million years ago) was also a time when Antarctica was still tropical. Just because "the earth used to be like this" doesn't mean that a return to any previous phase of climatic conditions won't be problematic for us and the generation coming after us - especially when the speed of the climatic change today is so much faster than the evidence would suggest would have been the norm on a geological scale. The issue is not change per se, but the comparitively high rate of that change and our (meaning humans and the rest of the planet's species) capacity for adapting to its effects on how we live/survive.


"Did you also know that there are glaciers in Greenland that are currently advancing, ..."
Can you provide a link to back this up? I'd be interested in reading it. Unless you mean that the melt water is advancing towards the sea, contributing to rising sea levels. National Geographic carried an article earlier this year about this happening in Greenland, I'm sure you could find it through Google. The same risk applies to the ice covering Antarctica - more than a third of the ice is currently lying on solid ground. As it melts into the sea, then sea levels around the world rise. But this isn't something that happens constantly - glaciers lose massive amounts of ice in summer and gain massive amounts in winter. The problem is that overall, the rate of replenishment is no longer keeping up with the rate of depletion.


"... and while land temperatures have increased worryingly in the past few decades, atmospheric temperatures show no perceptible warming increase in the last 100 years? A bit odd for what is supposed to be an atmospheric phenomenon, surely."
It's the temperatures at ground level which affect whether or not glacier ice will melt faster in summer than it can be replenished in winter. Average temperatures only have to rise (or rather continue rising) by a few degrees for significant alterations to occur. Over the twentieth century, average temperatures rose between half and one degree , and the hottest decade of the same century was the last one. On a related topic, I'd encourage you to look into the effects of rises in oceanic temperature, as well as increasing oceanic acidity.


"I'm not a conspiracy theorist, but you'd have to be stupid to miss the link between this, the one-sided reporting of the theories and facts, and the government's enthusiasm for the revenue raising potential ... combined with a lack of real drive to do anything constructive about it ... There are other, revenue neutral ways to combat congestion that would be quicker and easier to implement that simply don't even enter the equation .... I don't want to be tracked, and I don't want to be forced into quitting my job because I can't afford to get there, when the excuse for it is science which is devoid of two-sided debate, and whose dissenters are shouted down and publicly discredited by what can only be described as an increasing number of self interested environmental fascists."

Apart from the "one-sided reporting/devoid of two-sided debate" bit, I agree with a lot of this. However I'm not sure what the term "self interested environmental fascists" actually means. It may do no harm to look into the backgrounds of the more vociferous "dissenters" and ask what's in it for them, or at least what's in it for the people who fund them. Speaking personally, I have an interest in and concern for the world around me, including the people who live in it. I try to live in a way that reflects my views, eg by using as little fossil fuel as I can, by avoiding the use of unnecessary packaging, recycling what I can, etc etc etc. Does that make me an environmental fascist or tree hugger (whatever that means)? For the record, I don't believe that living sustainably entails a miserabilist return to a pre-industrial revolution standard of living. And I do believe people should think for themselves and consider as much of the available evidence as they can in order to make up their own minds.
--
andymc
Vroom, vroom - mmm, doughnuts ...
Road pricing - pay as you drive - DP
Hi andymc,

I simply read an article which played devils advocate. It made the point that while there is evidence to support the claims, there is also evidence which doesn't fit in with the patterns at all, and which cannot be explained in the context of the current man-made climate change theory. It did not rubbish the evidence for man made climate change, but simply suggested that this is not as clear cut as some of the environmental lobby and more recently our government would like to make out.

I want to find the more detailed information which the article drew on myself, so as soon as I do I will let you know. But when was the last time you saw anything on the news, or in the papers suggesting that human activity might not be affecting our climate after all, or some evidence exists which at leasts throws current knowledge into doubt. I simply can't recall ever having seen it, and whether you believe the article I saw or not, it's inconcievable that every single piece of scientific data backs up the climate change theory 100%. Why aren't we seeing both sides of the argument?

And how can this theory have passed into fact when, as the article said judging the future climate with the available accurate climate data in the context of the earth's history is like trying to plot the entire course of a garden path by looking at one paving slab.

"It may do no harm to look into the backgrounds of the more vociferous "dissenters" and ask what's in it for them, or at least what's in it for the people who fund them."

This is the exact problem. As someone who has not bought into the whole man-made climate change thing (I am, believe it or not, still open minded), I see a government who are to my view playing on people's concerns to pass new tax rises that would otherwise have them taking to the streets in protest. As someone who is clearly more environmentally aware than me, you see the sceptics as people who have financial or other incentives behind their dissent. Oil company funding is what I presume you hint at. This goes back to my point, the powers that be on both sides of the debate in this whole thing seem to have little more than their own interests at heart. This leaves the likes of you and me stuck in the middle of it, unsure exactly of what's fact and what's BS.

Of course we need to reduce our reliance on fossil fuels, but we don't need fear over climate change to do it. A combination of technology, political instability, supply restrictions and spiralling prices will do that for us, and arguably quicker than any global agreement on emission reductions can ever be agreed and implemented.

Cheers
DP
Road pricing - pay as you drive - Mr.Tee.43
Oilburner........

To the false plates and tin foil add a box of tricks to send a virus type of data down the mobile phone network
to put " HAL" in all sorts of trouble.

There will be some sharp brainpower applied to this .

As for policing,they can't / won't even catch the mobile phone driving drivers, so I can see real problems for the police, if the driving populace decide they have had enough !

The real villains will have a field day while the police are occupied with this .

Road pricing - pay as you drive - TheOilBurner
Agreed, the more technologically dependent we become, the more chance there is of electronic attacks to government systems, especially those that are disliked! :)

But like any virus or denial of service type attack, you can interrupt the system if you're good, but you can only stop it for so long until a work around is found. There's sharp brain power applied from both sides.

Policing is simple, once ANPR picks you up as a non-payer, you get sent an instant fine through the post, exactly the same as speeding fines. Speeding fines are hated now, but still the vast majority get paid and licences get endorsed. If they can manage it now (for the majority, as we see, there's always a few exceptions) then why not for this logical extension of the system?
Road pricing - pay as you drive - Mr.Tee.43
Ah, but you forget,I have revolving numberplates on the DB5, so ANPR will not work.

Road pricing - pay as you drive - Roly93
Reading Borough Council has been awarded £680K to research ways of
tackling congestion.


Theres no doubt that Reading BC are anti-car.
One of the quick and easy ways for them to ease congestion is to have better control over their roadworks contractors time taken to complete jobs like the A33-Rose Kiln Lane roundabout modification project. Why cantroad contractors be like so many other industries where project over-runs start costing them significant liquidated damages per day of over-run ?
Road pricing - pay as you drive - artful dodger {P}
The best web site on road pricing is

www.notolls.org.uk/roadpricing.htm

This is an anti-toll site and has very detailed information and arguements. Everyone should read it.


--
Roger
I read frequently, but only post when I have something useful to say.
Road pricing - pay as you drive - madf
Given that the technology is going to cost £billions - which could be spent on road improvements,
the logical thing is to abolish RFL, increase fuel tax and thus ensure everyone pays.

Given that 10%? of cars on the road are uninsured or unlicensed, I cannot see the sytem working as many cars will be registered under false addresses: and given the huge backlog on court fines - up to 40% unpaid in some places.. the reality is that fines will become another voluntary tax that the scrotes will avoid.

But since our dear government is incapable of logical thought
(Occam's razor - the simplest course is best) and
chooses the most complex course
(the recenlty jailed terrorists would have been given an ID card as he was in UK legitimately yet ID cards are justified on the basis of countering terror) and
is intent or road pricing and ID cards

the LOGICAL assumption must be they DO want to spy on us and track our every movement.
Or the Government is even more incompetent than we think.

or both:(((

On either basis , it will not work properly and any sane person should oppose it.
(which rules out most politicians judging by the shambles all around on the criminal justice system)


madf
Road pricing - pay as you drive - TheOilBurner
Of course they want to spy on us. The freedom and liberty we have become accustomed to is only because the capability to spy, control and record our day-to-day actions has not been available. Now the capability is appearing, the nanny state is rubbing it's hands in glee.

Freedom is not just the presence of a benevolent government, it is the absence of the means to curtail your freedoms. Once the later is in place, the former is harder to maintain.
Road pricing - pay as you drive - DP
Apart from the small matter of getting the public to swallow this diabolical idea, it's a win-win situation for the government. Monitor our movements, automatically issue speeding fines, raise a bung in extra tax revenue, award a load of lucrative contracts to more of their cronies, and create a whole raft of new public sector jobs to make Gordon's unemployment figures look good. No wonder they're jumping at it.

I will be interested to see if there's enough fight and spirit in the British public to take to the streets in protest / go on general strike / bring down the government if this is seriously pursued. For me it will be the limit of what I'm prepared to take from this useless, interfering and hypocritical shower we call a government.

Cheers
DP
Road pricing - pay as you drive - madf
The system will NOT work.
It just needs one (1) computer glitch and millions of motorists refuse to pay.
Presumably the sytem must have automatic fines for non payment.

Since the Courts are so inefficient, the prospect of 1,000s of cases being appealed at law could and would stop the entire legal system.

So as opposed to Occam's razor, we will have the Law of Unintended Consequences..

i.e road pricing and the legal system falls into (even more) disrepute.

It's barking madness.. but then the Government is run by a combination of failed lawyers and Scots.. any betting the system will ot apply to Scotland?

(and yes I am a Scot living in England )
madf
Road pricing - pay as you drive - TheOilBurner
Madf, you could equally argue the same about the current speeding/parking/red light/etc fines system. And yet, it does work and people do pay the fines, as evidenced by the extraordinary sums of money raised in this way. Dissenters are vastly outnumbered by those willing, if unhappy about just coughing up anyway.

As for computer glitches, new software always follows this pattern:

Brand new: falls apart at the slightest provocation.
Bug fixed: Mostly works OK, some major failures.
Mature: Rarely goes wrong, does more or less as required.

In the first phase, there will be much moaning and derision (as with any government IT project), but as it moves into phases II and III it will work and it will raise shedloads of cash for HM Treasury. Will it break even on costs? Eventually, yes.
Road pricing - pay as you drive - Mr.Tee.43
Oilburner,your view on software may be true of a smalliish program,and even MS Windows has never been perfect, but the history of Government IT projects is not good .

They have spent billions on various projects in the past and none of them do what they were supposed to do. It,s the so called IT consultants who will really clean up,should this project go ahead.
Road pricing - pay as you drive - Dipstick
In the sixties, it was the Russians.

In the seventies, it was nuclear power.

In the eighties it was a new ice age.

In the nineties it was "the environment".

Now it's global warming.

All of these have been used as reasons to frighten the population and oh, incidentally, to generate taxes.

Let's see who makes the first link between "terrorism" and "road pricing".

Road pricing - pay as you drive - artful dodger {P}
>>Let's see who makes the first link between "terrorism" and "road pricing".

"We need road pricing to see who drives where, so we can identify terrorist suspects." - MI5 :~)

"Road pricing will be a new tool to aid our fight against terrorism" - Prime Minister :~)

"Road pricing will mean we can afford to pay for the fight against terrorism" - Chancellor :~)

Any one else?


--
Roger
I read frequently, but only post when I have something useful to say.
Road pricing - pay as you drive - TheOilBurner
Large programs are made up of many smaller programs! ;)

Anyway, at a risk of getting even further away from motoring related stuff, I know people (talented people too) who have worked for IT consultancies on government IT projects and the stories they have to tell on the subject are horrifying/immensely entertaining depending on your point of view.
The opinion from the IT consultant is that if the government departments (and within that senior civil servants whose job seems to be empire building) didn't spend so much time fighting each other, but actually co-operated then these projects would be far successful. There is also the not so small issue of hordes of people involved in government IT who are attached to the public sector gravy train, creating further hindrance...

On a motoring related point, your car (assuming it's even vaguely modern) is absolutely crammed full of software that meets phase III of my description above. It's not always been that way, remember the early stuff on cars like the Maestro? Software evolves very quickly today too, hence why we're already starting to see cars that can partially drive themselves (e.g. Honda Accord) and prototypes appearing that can fully drive themselves, with no human control at all.

Remember, not all government IT projects fail badly, only the ones you read about in the paper! So there's a little selective distortion of the true picture, the medias fault, of course.
Road pricing - pay as you drive - madf
The problem with road pricing software
:
for it to work all vehicles on the road MUST be correctly registered.

Currently the DVLA has some ? 2-5% wrongly registered.. sold on as wrecks with no new keeper registered.

Until that problem is resolved, the scrotes will get away with it again...

Of course the solution is quite simple. Fill in the V5 section on sale and send to DVLA ..

Now we know that some unscrupulous traders don't. and some private sellers do not either...



So easy solution: if someone sells on a car without informing the DVLA.. whether dealer or citizen, they are responsible for the car and all its charges and misdeeds..
The problem then exists when the DVLA does not receive the notification/loses it - which I am sure is rare but must happen. There must be a simple remedy for that.

As far as Government IT disasters, the biggest and most expensive is underway. I refer to the £billion computerisation of patient records. I understand that there was little if any consultation with the users - the doctors - and information security is dubious - source my local GP...

And what benefit will all this give us? Well we can use any hopsital we like and our records will be on-line... Unfortunately the Government and NHS can't manage their budgets so there will be fewer nurses/doctors and hospitals to go to .. but never mind your patient records are online.:-(((
Seems to me the tail is wagging the dog...






madf