The Electric Vehicle (EV) thread Vol 16 - Xileno

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Edited by Xileno on 14/06/2025 at 19:46

The Electric Vehicle (EV) thread Vol 16 - SLO76
Despite initial reservations and doubts, we’re on EV no two and both of us are fully convinced. The Leaf 40kwh was a great first ev and at current low prices they are amazing value. Practical, cheap to buy and cheap to run.

The ID3 is a big step up regarding a range, handling and interior packaging. It’s a much more modern car, and when comparing it with a 62kwh Leaf it’s not that much more money used. Highly recommend - so far.
The Electric Vehicle (EV) thread Vol 16 - Steveieb

Glad to see you chose a European EV rather than one of cheaper Chinese versions about to flood the market in the West SLO .

But once we relinquish to Motor industry to the Chinese it could spell the end of manufacturing in the West all in the persuit of “Net Zero “

The Electric Vehicle (EV) thread Vol 16 - Terry W

Net zero has nothing to do with it. Consumers vote with their wallets and are responsible for the commercial success of Chinese products.

The Chinese are entirely capable of producing cars (and all other machinery) to competitive standards - civil and military aircraft, space stations, industrial machinery etc.

They succeed because their costs (labour, energy) are low, and clear strategic goals are set at top political levels which means that they act fast and coherently.

Whether high speed rail, EV battery plants, power stations etc etc - just compare to typical UK performance where a major investment programme (eg: HS2) has taken decades of wrangling and is still not finished, Sizewell C barely started after 15 years etc.

Most UK GDP comes from services (hairdressers, curry houses, lawyers, financial services, media, healthcare, education etc etc) so that manufacturing provides only a small part of national wealth and jobs - less than 10%.

The UK has seen manufacturing decimated over the last 40 years - quite simply too slow and too expensive. Whether we should sacrifice H&S and employment rights legislation, planning consultation and democracy in pursuit of lower costs is another matter.

The Electric Vehicle (EV) thread Vol 16 - Steveieb

Interesting comment Terry but my post referred to the West in general and not just the UK !

The Electric Vehicle (EV) thread Vol 16 - Engineer Andy
Despite initial reservations and doubts, we’re on EV no two and both of us are fully convinced. The Leaf 40kwh was a great first ev and at current low prices they are amazing value. Practical, cheap to buy and cheap to run. The ID3 is a big step up regarding a range, handling and interior packaging. It’s a much more modern car, and when comparing it with a 62kwh Leaf it’s not that much more money used. Highly recommend - so far.

The problem is that if manufacturers and lease / PCP financing companies want to stay in business and make a profit (huge depreciation of EVs), they cannot sustain the level of new sales because the second hand market just isn't there - its flooded with EVs few people want, even with that big depreciation.

At some point (and soon), finance companies will start to raise PCP / lease monthly rates to realistic levels to make a profit on disposal of 3yo EVs, and maybe even higher to recoup losses from the last couple of years, plus the next two or so as cars they sold under agreements from 2023 to now come off those deals.

Manufacturers too will not be able to sustain their price cuts, because they are either subsidising them from their own profits and/or from jacking up the price of ICE vehicles. Lower overall sales, losses per vehicle (or minuscule profits) and rising costs are not sustainable over the medium to long term to enable long term investment decisions and pay out decent dividends.

Eventually, governments will have to abandon the artificial deadlines and sales targets and just let the whole thing develop naturally as the market dictates. Either that or watch the entire industry and possibly disastrous effects on entire economies occur within a few years at best. The 'Net Zero' stuff (similar) is also lined in to this, making the situation much worse, as recent events in Spain and other parts of continental Europe showed.

There may not be a buyers' market for second hand EVs soon if it naturally corrects via one means or another.

The Electric Vehicle (EV) thread Vol 16 - Terry W

The problem is that if manufacturers and lease / PCP financing companies want to stay in business and make a profit (huge depreciation of EVs), they cannot sustain the level of new sales because the second hand market just isn't there - its flooded with EVs few people want, even with that big depreciation.

The s/h market will find a level at which it functions effectively - it's what markets do. IMHO as EVs and charging facilities become commonplace, fears of range anxiety, battery longevity etc etc will diminish.

At some point (and soon), finance companies will start to raise PCP / lease monthly rates to realistic levels to make a profit on disposal of 3yo EVs, and maybe even higher to recoup losses from the last couple of years, plus the next two or so as cars they sold under agreements from 2023 to now come off those deals.

Losses made on the disposal of EVs are history - the market will determine the future economic price for PCP and lease. Companies cannot unilaterally recover earlier losses by increasing prices - they would simply become uncompetitive.

Manufacturers too will not be able to sustain their price cuts, because they are either subsidising them from their own profits and/or from jacking up the price of ICE vehicles. Lower overall sales, losses per vehicle (or minuscule profits) and rising costs are not sustainable over the medium to long term to enable long term investment decisions and pay out decent dividends.

Costs of ICE production will broadly increase with inflation. The costs of EVs - particularly batteries - is declining. Current new price of comparable EV and ICE is similar.

In 2-3 years time prices of ICE may be cut as manufacturers want to generate sales of vehicles which will soon be unsaleable using tooling and designs soon to become obsolete.

Eventually, governments will have to abandon the artificial deadlines and sales targets and just let the whole thing develop naturally as the market dictates. Either that or watch the entire industry and possibly disastrous effects on entire economies occur within a few years at best. The 'Net Zero' stuff (similar) is also lined in to this, making the situation much worse, as recent events in Spain and other parts of continental Europe showed.

Transition to EV and abandonment of ICE is a completely sound strategy. Similarly green energy generation vs fossil fuels. It is reasonable to question the timescales and incentives required to make this happen.

Personally I think they should stick with existing deadlines and targets - a new technology with fundamental major benefits to UK PLC (environmental and energy security) needs support to become established.

There may not be a buyers' market for second hand EVs soon if it naturally corrects via one means or another.

A personal aside - last year I bought an ICE SUV. I rejected EV as I make several trips a year where recharging enroute would be required, including southern Spain. Range anxiety, depreciation, dealer networks, battery life were all concerns - individually not enough to sway the conclusion but taken together lead me to ICE.

Were I making the decision today I would probably go EV - in a years time almost certainly.

The Electric Vehicle (EV) thread Vol 16 - alan1302

Eventually, governments will have to abandon the artificial deadlines and sales targets and just let the whole thing develop naturally as the market dictates. Either that or watch the entire industry and possibly disastrous effects on entire economies occur within a few years at best. The 'Net Zero' stuff (similar) is also lined in to this, making the situation much worse, as recent events in Spain and other parts of continental Europe showed.

I think it is too late for that now - manufacturers are already moving away from building ICE in Europe and they will need the EV sales to keep increasing due to the investments that have already been made and also what they have coming out over the next few years for new models - the manufacturers just won't have alternative ICE models available.

Renault 5 E-Tech - Electric Cars - Great to drive but troubling - Firmbutfair

I recently enjoyed a 30 minute, unsupervised test drive around Romford in a new Renault 5 E-Tech and it was very impressive in every aspect as you might expect with its 110kW (150ps) engine and its 52kWh battery. With careful driving and the regenerative braking provided by the e-pedal I could see the 'range to empty' initially increase from 198 miles to 201 miles but brisker driving of course showed a slow reduction in the range to empty. Clearly the car was not fully charged but its high efficiency was very evident. My concern is that we are being persuaded that running a BEV is the way to go to reduce our individual carbon footprint and clean up the air in town centres etc however I think that there is serious flaw with this wonderfully exciting technology.The 52kWh battery, gives a range of UP TO 250 miles and has a mass of some 250kg and still has a mass of 250 kg when close to fully discharged, whereas my similarly sized small family hatchback has a 50 litre fuel tank and had a range of AT LEAST 500 miles on regular unleaded petrol and UP TO 600 miles between fill ups on longer runs in spring, summer and autumn. When the petrol tank is nearly empty the whole car is some 40kg lighter but the electric car is still carrying 3 invisible passengers even when empty! Sadly my mpg is now about 10% lower running on regular unleaded E10 fuel, but that is another gripe.

Broadly speaking the Renault is around 250 kg heavier than my ICE car and has less than half the useful driving range. I was hoping to take advantage of the V2G technology already built into the Renault (already up and running in France) but fear it would take many years to breakeven and actually get a positive return on my investment from my energy supplier, even if the BEV was plugged in day and night whenever I did not need it. I can see that a 5 to 6 year old Nissan Leaf can be purchased for less than 25% of the new Renault and that the Leaf supports V2G using the CHAdeMo (Japanese) connection standard but this is being phased out in favour of the new EU CCS 2 connection standard. What do HJ readers think of all this?

[Moved from Technical forum as this is more of a discussion]

Edited by Xileno on 18/06/2025 at 06:30

Renault 5 E-Tech - Electric Cars - Great to drive but troubling - pd

I suspect the used EV market will sort its self out soon enough. For a while they were ridiculously expensive and now they seem on the cheap side but any new market bounces around a bit.

I wouldn't feel too sorry for the lease companies who made an absolute fortune for a few years with cars coming back into them worth twice as much as they had expected.

Some EVs hold their prices quite well and there is certainly a market for them. I wouldn't believe everything from ranting lunatics in their bedrooms on Youtube you hear.

Renault 5 E-Tech - Electric Cars - Great to drive but troubling - Andrew-T

Broadly speaking the Renault is around 250 kg heavier than my ICE car and has less than half the useful driving range.

Using your figures as an example, your car gives an optimum range of about 1 mile per kilo of battery. I don't suppose that is a linear relationship, but it may suggest why EVs don't offer ranges comparable with a petrol or diesel car - that might need half a ton of battery, with the extra disadvantage of crash weight.

Until someone develops a battery with higher energy density ?

The Electric Vehicle (EV) thread Vol 16 - mcb100
‘ The 52kWh battery, gives a range of UP TO 250 miles and has a mass of some 250kg and still has a mass of 250 kg when close to fully discharged, whereas my similarly sized small family hatchback has a 50 litre fuel tank and had a range of AT LEAST 500 miles on regular unleaded petrol and UP TO 600 miles between fill ups on longer runs in spring, summer and autumn.’

You are missing two reasonably large chunks of information in this.

- Mileage you cover in an EV is zero emissions from the (non-existent) tail pipe. No petrol or diesel can do this.

- Your current car is working at about 30% efficiency. For every 100 units of energy you put in, only 30 are providing forward motion. That figure is c90% in an EV.
The Electric Vehicle (EV) thread Vol 16 - Terry W

Range may only be a real rather than imagined barrier for a few depending on usage.

A 200 mile range is only an issue if doing longer journeys - say 150+ allowing for bad weather, diversions etc. Based on average mileage driven in the UK, an EV would only need charging once a week!

The Renault 5E can be charged at up to 100kw giving 20-80% in ~30 mins. As 150 miles represents 2-3 hours driving on a motorway, the range fits with most folks coffee and bladder capacity.

In terms of cost, use of motorway chargers give no benefit over petrol. Charging at home is materially cheaper (depends on supplier and tariff).

The final issue is availability of charging points - no one wants to be in a queue to get connected or find they don't work. This may have been an issue but simple observation at motorway services shows rows of free charging points so this may be a red herring.

The Electric Vehicle (EV) thread Vol 16 - pd

It is all about which car fits your needs the best.

If you regularly do long motorway journeys and 350 mile days and 95% of your driving is of that type and 5% mixed local then an EV will arguably only be the optimum choice 5% of the time. It'll still work but you won't get the same cost advantages (tax aside) it will be less convenient in many cases.

However, if 95% of your motoring is within 100 miles or so of home and you only do an occasional long journey then, yes, for those occasions an EV might be slightly slower (possibly) and won't have the cost advantages but for the other 95% you will be driving something optimised for your motoring.

I bet far more typical UK drivers fit in the latter category than the former.

I mean, really, if you only do a long journey once a month then 12 stops over a year to charge aren't really a deal breaker for all the other times you'll be driving something better.

The Electric Vehicle (EV) thread Vol 16 - Steveieb

According to the latest What Car survey, and EV is more likely to leave you stranded at the side of the road than a petrol or diesel car.

https://www.whatcar.com/news/evs-most-likely-to-leave-you-stranded-at-the-roadside/n27837