Luddites of the world unite - Vin {P}
Inspired by a comment in another thread: "Really looking forward to buying one of these cars when it's 15 years old..."

Why are people so scared of electronics in cars, when electronic systems in general will last far longer than the car itself?

Yes, I know we hear about electronic engine management systems, etc, failing, at great cost, but it's a damned sight rarer than the failings in distributor-based systems. In fact, though I haven't got the facts to prove this, I'd be prepared to bet that the sum of money (including labour, etc) spent on the few electronics failures is less than the total spent on thousands of contact breaker/distributor failures years ago.

I'd always put my trust in electronics over mechanical for reliability. Anything than moves while touching something else WILL wear out; it's just a question of time. An electronic circuit tends either to fail upon switch on or to last longer than I will. In computers it tends to be disk drives (moving parts) that fail rather than processors, memory, etc.

I know there was a golden age when you could set the timing on a Morris Minor with a fag paper, a crowbar and a piece of chewing gum, but electronics have obviated the need for the timing being set at all - it doesn't go out of kilter in the first place. The price we pay for this is that when there IS a failure, we can't repair it ourselves. Is that so high a price to pay?

Why do you think cars are so much more reliable than they ever were? I remember spending hours keeping my Mini on the road. Constantly having to work on it just keep the damned thing running. Now, I bet you could buy a MINI, change the oil every 5000 miles, never do ANYTHING else to it and it would go on for tens, if not hundreds, of thousands of miles.

I remember trips to the coast as a kid (early 1970s) when there would be a broken down car every few miles. Now I drive tens of thousands of miles a year and notice very few broken down vehicles.

Yes, let's remember the great days of motoring, but let's also remember carrying a can of WD in the car for when it rained on my Mini, drying the HT leads in a low oven, setting the timing in the street, people regularly bump-starting cars down the street, overheated cars in every traffic jam, decokes at 50,000 miles, a bit of grit in the carburettor stranding me in Stoke (very personal one, I admit).

Comments invited,

V
Luddites of the world unite - No Do$h
I'll just hold the door open for Volvoman. Bound to be along in a minute with an "alternative" view to the progress we've enjoyed in the motor industry.

::: Checks watch :::

Can't understand it, he's not here yet :o)

No Dosh
Backroom Moderator
mailto:moderators@honestjohn.co.uk
Luddites of the world unite - Altea Ego
"I remember trips to the coast as a kid (early 1970s) when there would be a broken down car every few miles. Now I drive tens of thousands of miles a year and notice very few broken down vehicles."

Funny this, it almost exactly coincides with the demise of British Leyland........Scince they have gone.............!
Luddites of the world unite - Thommo
I can remember 25 years ago my father and I (we were both skint) running basic cars for next to nothing. The two that really stick in my memory are his Cortina MKIII and my Escort MKI.

Repairs were required once every few months but all work could be done on the drive with a minimal number of tools and cheap parts from scrap yards where you had to locate and extract the part for yourself.

I now run two cars an ancient Nissan Silvia and a Mondeo estate. The Nissan I can just about cope with, the Mondeo, I haven't a clue.

So certainly for the Mondeo whilst it may go wrong less frequently when it does it HAS to go to the garage. Currently I can afford this but what if I couldn't? In 2004 there is no viable public transport except in Central London where all the tree huggers life (why don't they live in the countryside?) so no car no job.

I am seriously thinking of chopping in the Mondeo for a Rover 2000...

This analygy also extends to other items. 25 years ago my father could fix anything in the house including the TV. Now? Could you fix the electronics on a Bosch washing machine? You would need a specialist, chances are he would charge more than a new one so down the dump it goes...
Luddites of the world unite - Aprilia
I could write an essay about this topic, having been involved in automotive electronics since about 1985. I have worked on the development of systems for Jaguar, Ford, Rover, to name but a few, and also worked as a consultant for many suppliers.

Although automotive electronics have brought about many improvements there are also many downsides. Improvements include safety (ABS, airbag), better driveability, emissions, specific output etc. The downsides are also there, but not so obvious.

For a start, one has to remember that the manufacture of electronic systems (ECUs, sensors, actuators) is not without its environmental impact. Many of the manufacturing processes used in the electronics industry involve the consumption of rare elements such as palladium, platinum, gold etc. and it is difficult to recover these at the end of the product cycle (this is a hot topic in the industry at the moment). Moreover the production processes themselves consume additional energy thereby contributing to pollution. Many of the chemicals used are carcinogenic/toxic.
The total pollution generated by a vehicle during its use (i.e. when being driven) is about 50% of its total environmental impact. The other 50% is generated during its manufacture - this is for a car that delivers about 30mpg over 100k miles/10 years (Univ. Heidelberg research). Modern cars consume far more energy and raw materials than did the older cars.

Older cars can often be repaired at modest cost and obsolete components can often be remanufactured fairly easily. This is not the case with electronic systems. Moreover the manufacturers often make frequent changes to hardware and software so that parts from one MY don't fit a car made the next MY.

The impact of this is already being seen in some areas of the car market. For example, for many years well-used but servicable Mercedes cars were exported from Europe to serve in developing countries, Middle East and Africa, where they often gave another 10-20 years of service. This trade is dwindling. Mercedes made from the early 1990's onwards have electronic engine management and these systems cannot be economically repaired by 'technicians' in the developing world - so the cars are scrapped.
Luddites of the world unite - BrianW
Very true.
The unexpected consequence of the changes to the vehicle taxation system is that in changing to a new car in a more environmentally friendly tax class, the emissions in manufacturing the new car far outweigh what would be emitted by keeping the old car running for another five years.
Luddites of the world unite - Mapmaker
Saw the title of the thread and thought, 'yes that's me!' Then to find you've quoted my words as well, my face is shining pink!

'The unexpected consequence of the changes to the vehicle taxation system...' No, the absolutely expected consequence. But politicians have to pay lip-service to Kyoto-type initiatives, and that's an easy way to do it. '3 million polluting vehicles scrapped' is a good headline, only weirdos like you and me will see the other side of the coin.

Now, I'm not a luddite. Not at all. But my new Audi (100 '92)has a super-duper electronic gizmo that checks the car before you set out to make sure everything is in the right place. Except it doesn't always work. So on my '83 Polo, if you were running short of petrol or oil pressure, a light would come on. On the Audi you've no idea whether you might be on your last pint of petrol or if your oil pressure is dropping to the floor.

Fix: Polo - new lightbulb easily fitted. Audi, £££££. Second hand units aren't much good, as this is a common problem - and the car's not quite old enough to have been widely scrapped.

Is this progress? Not for me.

And then ignition timing. With the Polo a visiting card & screwdriver would indeed set the points, and an allen key the valves. Canny gadget father had in back of cupboard that cost £3 99 and a 1/2p would set timing. Audi: hydraulic tappets set themselves... or require a new one; set timing by plugging hugely complicated computer into car's hugely complicated computer. Progress? Not for me it's not.

Polo: timing belt - DIY. Audi requires 420 ft pounds on your torque wrench. I think not! Cost to have it done, including tensioner & pump £350 (Main dealer wanted £400 excluding tensioner!). Not worth doing, I'm afraid. Car can run until it collapses, when I can have a second hand engine put in for no more than that.
Luddites of the world unite - No Do$h
Polo: timing belt - DIY. Audi requires 420 ft pounds
on your torque wrench.


If we can find a way to link the flywheel of my Alfa to the bolt in question, we may just have a DIY fix.

420lbft of torque? You'd turn the car over!
Luddites of the world unite - Mapmaker
Hilarious, isn't it. Haynes just says tighten to specified torque. Front of chapter says 420 lb-ft (iirc - do not try this at home without checking first).

A website I found suggested: If you do not have a torque wrench that can be set this high, use an extension on a breaker bar and do the math with your body weight at a specific moment arm.
Luddites of the world unite - Altea Ego
To be fair, this is not entirely the fault of the motoring manufacturers. Rightly they have embraced the benefits that the electronics industry can bring to running cars. However many years ago that same electronics industry moved to a short product lifetime, replace/update but no component fix, business model and this has been forced onto the automive industry.

This will become even worse in the future. Cars will contain more and more software for all functions. The software industry
support lifetimes are even worse.
Luddites of the world unite - Thommo
Also own two motorbikes:

BMW GS80. Can take it apart and out it back together with a bent spoon.

Triumph Tiger (2001 model). Dealer only!
Luddites of the world unite - teabelly
Heaven forbid Microsoft get involved in writing software for cars ;-)

Having talked to a guy from a Citroen dealership saying that all the electronics on a C5 were matched to an individual car and couldn't be swapped between cars then it makes diagnosis even more tricky. They had a car in there that French engineers that designed the thing couldn't work out what had gone wrong with it and this car was months old!

Mechanics are going to cease to exist and the only people that will understand cars are electronics engineers. Now where have all the electronics courses gone? How many electronics departments have disappeared? I reckon in 5-10 years times electronics engineers are going to be the new plumbers/plasterers.


teabelly
Luddites of the world unite - Altea Ego
Heaven forbid Microsoft get involved in writing software for cars ;-)

Too late Mr Belly

the new BMW 5 and 7 run on Microsoft Windows CE automotive v2.

Already owners report problems where the only cure is to stop, turn off and restart. All new cars will shortly appears with Alt/ctrl/delete keys.
Luddites of the world unite - No Do$h
So when this technology reaches the small hatchback market, will each car come with a stylus and a hole to put it in? If it really doesn't want to play, will you have to do this whilst pressing all three pedals and simultaneously opening the glovebox and the NSR door?

Owners of any pocketPC will know where I'm coming from....
Luddites of the world unite - billy25
simple answer is to close/open (the)windows!
Luddites of the world unite - Altea Ego
Not when the window control panel is blue you cant!
Luddites of the world unite - Mapmaker
Modern trains certainly have to be stopped and rebooted. I made a habit of the Cambridge to London commute for a while. Not infrequently the driver would pull into a convenient platform somewhere like Finsbury Park and say 'excuse me ladies and gentlemen, but I'm going to have to reboot the train.' All lights would dutifully go out, and train would go dead. Wait requisite 2 minutes, restart, wait 5 minutes and then be able to do 90 mph, instead of 30.

If cars start to do this too...
Luddites of the world unite - Stargazer {P}
Dont laugh, but I have had this experience on a plane, not sure what it was but we were waiting to roll back from the terminal when the pilot came on the PA, 'sorry folks but we are unable to get all the instrument readings we require, we will be powering down the entire plane for a few seconds to restart the computers...glad they didnt do that in the air!

Ian L.
Luddites of the world unite - Mapmaker
rofl!
Luddites of the world unite - Kevin
RF said:

Already owners report problems where the only cure is to stop, turn off and restart. All new cars will shortly appears with Alt/ctrl/delete keys.

Nope, they'll come with a sledgehammer....

www.thaivisa.com/index.php?514&backPID=10&tt_news=...5

Kevin...
Luddites of the world unite - Dynamic Dave
Heaven forbid Microsoft get involved in writing software for cars ;-)


Funny you should say that. On a similar note:-

www.honestjohn.co.uk/forum/post/index.htm?v=e&t=74...6


Luddites of the world unite - Mapmaker
'embraced the benefits that the electronics industry'

I wonder what RF does for a living... :)
Luddites of the world unite - madf
Well lets face it. Anyone who thinks Citroen can make anything electronic and last for 12 years is .. well misguided. The XM is only 6 or so years old:-)

But buy a 12 year old BMW or Mercedes or Ford and the electronics work well. The electronic ignition on my son's 1993 Fiesta and my other's 1996 Peugeot 106 are untouched for 3 years.. Try that with the rubbish fitted to British cars of the 60s ( or Jags of the 80s)..

As long as it is well sited, not exposed to rain/water or vibration and well built (no dry solder) modern electronics are great..

I remember Minis with a shudder and 1100s and Cortinas .. and Triumph 2000s. Absolute rubbish by modern standards...

Of course if you buy a Citroen.. but what can you expect..or a Rover 800 (electric windows anyone)?

madf


Luddites of the world unite - SpamCan61 {P}
I don't think it's the electronics as such that cause the majority of problems; more to do with all sorts of subtly different electronics hardware having to operate with all sorts of subtly different software builds; the whole lot being subject to a wide range of user / sensor inputs; which can only be partially tested.

Personally I think the situation has now reached the point where some of the more subtle faults are probably unfixable by even experienced main dealers.
Luddites of the world unite - Altea Ego
Cue to ACME Elctronics Inc, design meeting room no1.

"Ok guys, we here to design an electronic control system for cars. Firstly the brakes. I want sensors sited sited next to the road wheels, where we are going to throw stones mud and sand at them at 70 miles per hour, and i hear there is a place in Europe where it rains 50% of the time, so we are going to throw 500 gallons of salty water at them every month. They need to last 15-20 years."

"Cant be done Boss." "What is this sensor driving?"

"Ok come to that later. Now the engine. We need to make a sensor that listens to the noise of the engine, a sensor that measures the speed of things going round, a sensor that measures the wetness (oh that could be salty wetness by the way) and temperature of air going in, and a sensor that we are going to stick into hot gas at about 500 degrees C"

Muttering from audience

"oh and they have to last 15 years 100% reliably and cost 0.00001 cents to make"

"You what boss?" "Whats this sensor driving Boss"

"Come to that later. Now all these sensors need to connect to a central CPU that needs to cost less than 1 buck to make, The sensors and the wiring all need to work from -50c to 100c, in dry and in damp, controlling valves that hold 2000 bar of pressure, switch hundreds of thousands of volts. All this lot needs work 100% reliably all of the time for 15 years."

Serious muttering from audience

"Oh and if it does go wrong, a 16 year old boy with dirty overalls who cant sit the right way on a toilet seat needs to be able to fix it"

Titters from audience.

"Boss?"

"Yes engineer no1"

"What *is* running this central CPU"

"Ah yes - why its Microsoft Windows, and it needs to run 100% reliably for 15 years........."

Half the engineers walk out in disgust - the other half collapse in mirth









Luddites of the world unite - Mapmaker
I sat in my Audi the other day, making broom broom noises to pass the time. I pressed the alarm button on the key fob without realising it. Doors not unlockable, windows not openable (electric), sunroof likewise. So, if stuck in the middle of nowhere, and the battery failed on the key fob... I know, ring the AA 'hello, I'm stuck in my car...'

My sympathies are with the Thai Finance minister.
Luddites of the world unite - Altea Ego
"Oh and guys before you go, its all going to be put together by the French on friday afternoon just before the August Holiday, and it needs to............."

"yes we know - work 100% reliably for 15 years"

Gales of laughter.
Luddites of the world unite - Malcolm_L
Cracking RF - If this ever becomes a sitcom I'll put my order in
now for full set DVD.

Seriously, it does make you wonder how automotive reliability is
as good as it is.


Luddites of the world unite - Mapmaker
But is it Malcolm? Have you never seen a dealer scratch his head and suggest a whole new ECU at ££££££££££?
Luddites of the world unite - Altea Ego
Cue to Acme Electronics meeting room no1 two months later.

"Boss"

"Yes guys"

"We have a solution"

"Hit me guys"

"Well its like this. We can't do all you want. We can't make it 100% fault free for 15 years, its the French you see."

"well guys?"

"We have designed a system to go with it, to be used at all garages. It connects to the central CPU, can exercise all the sensors as hard and for as long as you like, control the engine in all modes, Connect to the internet in real time back to our labs, we can update anything we like. It will work in a cold draughty garage covered in oil, and is smart enough to be used by the 16 year old."

"Thats fabulous guys how much is it"

"$50k"

"dump it, make up some flashy cds for a cheap laptop"
Luddites of the world unite - peterb
Brilliant RF. We want more!
Luddites of the world unite - Vin {P}
Wow! Pleased with the response. Luddism still prevails.

But if it's impossible to produce electronics that can do the jobs as so beautifully and humorously outlined above, how come we get them and they generally work? Why DO I see fewer cars broken down. Why do I suffer fewer breakdowns (there's tempting fate for you)?

This is another of those areas where everything seems to happen to a friend of a friend. It's always a case of, "I know a bloke who was charged [insert ludicrous sum here] for an ECU".

My argument is that if you add up all the hours spent repairing and bodging cars in the past and attached a cost to it, it was probably a damned sight more than the cost of the occasional real big problem nowadays. And let's not forget, there were big cost problems in the past as well. I hear a lot less about blown engines than I used to.

Anyone know how rare ECU failure really is? I don't, but I suspect it's pretty rare, as they are non-moving-part electronic components. Now if they are exposed to the elements....

V
Luddites of the world unite - Altea Ego
Noooo The question is "how many ECUs are changed in ignorance, error, desperation"
Luddites of the world unite - peterb
It comes down to financial circumstances.

On average, we have, as a nation, become financially better off over the last 20 years. (I stress the "on average" - this hasn't happened across the board.)

This has meant that an increasing number of people are happy with a car that works 99%+ of the time and goes to a garage when it doesn't. They can afford to pay a mechanic for his time and prefer to spend their own time doing something else.

Hence, car companies make relaible but complicated cars.

Unfortunately, this business model is bad news for people who are less well off, or prefer to spend there money on other stuff. This group would prefer to spend their own time reparing a car, as they lack the disposable income to spend on a mechanic (in any case, the repair cost may exceed the car's value).
Luddites of the world unite - Vin {P}
But is it Malcolm? Have you never seen a dealer
scratch his head and suggest a whole new ECU at ££££££££££?


Have you? Really seen it, I mean, not heard about it?

V
Luddites of the world unite - Malcolm_L
Cartographer,
I got striped up on the first car I bought (Renault 16 from my father!), the wet liners failed and I ended up replacing the engine.
The next car had a selector fork break which left me in reverse only, 7 miles from home (I had a stiff neck for 3 weeks after that - ever tried reversing 7 miles).
I now do 23-25k a year and haven't broken down in 6 years, despite having ABS/ASR/a/c and various other bits of electrickery.

I thankfully haven't had a fault which hasn't been properly diagnosed although VW have tried hard (I suspect because it was
warranty work).

I'm not saying that it's all good news - the points about total
environmental cost are extremely valid. However the whole process is customer driven and Joe public wants what he wants and will pay to get it (Ask any member of parliament).
Luddites of the world unite - Mapmaker
I'm coming at this from the well-used car end of the market. For my few thousand miles a year driven at weekends, and wanting a large estate car as it's useful, I'm afraid that the Company Passat or MG that they'd let me have (they're very stingy) is just a waste of money. It also amuses me to run a car on a shoestring rather than Optimax, so I run old unattractive cars that don't matter if they are dinged in the street in London SE1 whilst unattended from Saturday evening to Saturday morning (or longer), and won't get stolen(!). At that age, I don't want super duper ECUs and onboard computers as I don't understand how to fix them, they do go wrong (my Audi 100 onboard computer is dodgy as described above, so less useful than the fuel warning light on my ex-Polo) and when they go wrong it is a scrapping job. i.e. send the car to the scrap yard.

I'm not sure Joanne Public really wants automatic switching on headlights on her Megane. We've motored for 103 years without them, why do we suddently need them? Some bright spark thinks of it, some electronics or computer engineer says I can do it dead cheaply, so builds sensors etc. etc. etc. and there's something else to go wrong.

It's a matter of increasing the number of things that could go wrong. I've just pulled my old Polo to pieces for a bit of gentle entertainment, and how many useful moving parts are there? Maybe a couple of dozen? Whereas on that new Megane (hired one the other week) it's just packed full of gadgets. So many more things to go wrong, the law of probability means that it's more likely that something will go wrong.
Luddites of the world unite - Andrew-T
Don't knock 1100s, madf. When I was young and green I was trusting enough to buy a used 1100 in the Canadian prairies - its previous owner had 'rallied' it. I put 35K miles on it in 1964-67 including the most god-awful roads in the Rockies and the Arizona desert. The only failures I can remember were a clutch release bearing and those typically BL rubber U-joints, which started knocking in Utah. Its Achilles heel was the electric fuel pump mounted under the tank - I learnt to change those in 15 minutes and travelled with a spare. I changed that pump in the middle of Washington DC and in bear country 50 miles from any garage, never mind one that had ever seen a transverse engine. So as far as I was concerned 1100s were OK.

And I suppose I am a bit of a Luddite.
Luddites of the world unite - Cardew


The impact of this is already being seen in some areas
of the car market. For example, for many years well-used
but servicable Mercedes cars were exported from Europe to serve in developing countries, Middle East and Africa, where they often gave another 10-20 years of service. This trade is dwindling. Mercedes made from the early 1990's onwards have electronic engine management and these systems cannot be economically repaired by 'technicians' in the developing
world - so the cars are scrapped.



Or they get replacements from the Mercs stolen in(mainly) Europe and stripped down for spares. A growth industry!
Luddites of the world unite - Altea Ego
I hear there may be a market soon for old Audi 100's
Luddites of the world unite - Altea Ego
Cue to RF electronics (a subsiduary of Renault family inc) meeting room no1, year 2010.

"ok guys we ready to go to market?"

"yes boss"

"Run it pass me one more time"

"well boss its like this The car is equiped with a WiFi module. Everytime the owner drives near his house, the wifi connects with our central service over the owners broadband wireless router. The contents of the car CPU are dumped to our central servers before the engine is switched off. We analyse the data and check everything is ok. Every month while the car is parked outside its given a serious electronic workout controlled by us.
We check the levels of the software, and upload the latest levels to the car. If we notify anything wrong we can order the parts, the correct parts because we know the build level of the car from its unique ID and our links to the maker."

"We send the owner an email asking him when its convenient for our 17 year old youth in the van to come round and plug in the new part. We log onto the car afterwards to check the spotty youths work, and monitor it for a week."

"ok guys and the cost"

"15 quid a month boss, plus any call out fee"

"and it works in France?"

"yes boss"

"Yehaaw Lets go to market"


Luddites of the world unite - Malcolm_L
Great idea, but I think you'll find that either R-R or A-M have already done something similar.
IIRC, the link was achieved using WAP technology so the owner could download the relevant fault codes which were subsequently diagnosed.
Not quite as elegant as your proposal but enough to start a small patent war.

Luddites of the world unite - madf
Did not McLaren have something like that on their supercar ?

(Mind you the gold leaf on the exhausts probably cost more than a new Fiesta!)

madf


Luddites of the world unite - Malcolm_L
I bow to your superior memory - yes, it was McLaren.
Luddites of the world unite - Mapmaker
Just reading the \'reprogramming Avensis keys\' thread on the Technical board. I don\'t know whether I would fancy sitting in a car performing black magic (insert key in ignition, do not turn it. Open door, remove key. shut door, reinsert key in ignition, open door shut door and wait for doors to lock & then unlock automatically). I\'d be scared stiff that they wouldn\'t reopen!
Luddites of the world unite - Mapmaker
Missed that earlier post, sorry RF.

If there's as much truth in that as there is in the rest of your postings today, I shall be sleeping more easily in my bed in the back of my car. Have sold the house and am living in the car so it won't get stolen.
Luddites of the world unite - madf
As I understand it the Idrive system by Bosch in the latest BMW7 series and Mercedes requires a lot of complicated instructions just to change the time on the clock...



madf


Luddites of the world unite - Mapmaker
My mother bought a clock radio alarm from Aldi, and it's so complicated she gave it to me. I've lost the instructions, so it's now just a clock, and only for 6 months of the year (the other 6 months of the year it's an hour out). The point being, punters don't really want the complication that they claim to want. Like any opinion poll, it's all in how you ask the question (I'll focus on the Megane's headlights as they're the most unbelievably useless gadget I've ever seen):

'Would you like headlamps that turn themselves on?' 'Of course'
or
'Would you like 6 pages of instructions on how to operate your headlights?' 'No, a simple switch will do, thanks!'
Luddites of the world unite - Chuffer Dandridge
Our sierra has all the electrics, which is really nice. Until you forget to close the sunroof or a window, then you have to turn the ignition back on to close them.

On the peugeot, its all manual, so you simply flick the catch or wind the handle, with no need to have the ignition on.

I don't think I'm a luddite, but guess which I find more convenient?

I've also had three failures of the electric windows on the sierra, extremely inconvenient when they stick open, and pig of a job to repair.
Luddites of the world unite - ndbw
To AS

If you put your key in the drivers door lock,turn it anti clockwise and hold it there you will find any windows sun roof etc will close without having to re-enter the car and switch on the ignition.

ndbw
Luddites of the world unite - machika
Reference an earlier remark about Citroens, we have a ten year old Xantia and, apart from the rev counter packing up recently, the rest of the electrics are all original and working.
Luddites of the world unite - Vin {P}
By the way, I've just recalled a useful bit of trivia for rule of thumb calculations:

Apparently, we tend to know well around 150 people on average. They in turn typically know the same. So, if an incident happens to someone and you hear it direct from them, it's going to be about a 1 in 150 chance. Hear it from two people and it's 2 in 150, etc. Similarly, hear it from none and you can assume that it's probably pretty unlikely (if you count less than 1 in 150 to be rare). Something you hear of that happens to one friend of a friend is likely to be in the region of 1 in 22,500.

So, in my sample, I don't have a mate who has ever had to reaplce an ECU (who has told me). therefore, if I assume even a cost of £750 for an ECU, I can logically conclude that from my sample of 150, the total cost of ECU failures has been less (possibly much less) than a fiver per car.

This is the point I'm trying to make; the story we hear (always a mate of a mate, so doubtful) is of expensive failures of new-fangled technology. I argue that they are far cheaper overall than the sum of failures of cheap bits on older cars.

Thus, I conclude that we are making progress.

V

PS. I know the statistical liberties I have taken, but they OK as a rule of thumb.
Luddites of the world unite - PhilW
Agree with Vin - all this talk about modern cars being too complicated is all very well but mention of other cars (minis, 1100s, Rover 2000 etc) seems to suggest that the Luddites are of a certain age (like me?). No doubt your Rover 2000 was considered too complicated by the previous generation and therefore probably deemed "unreliable" and difficult to repair. Compared to my first car it was - I had a 20 year old Sunbeam Talbot in the late '60s - no heater, radio, one speed wipers, no rear demist, no power steering. Yes the timing was easy to adjust and a good job too 'cos it needed doing every week. Forgotten how I did it, and wouldn't have a clue how to do it on a modern car but then in the last 20 years I can't recall having to have the timing adjusted on any of my cars. How much simpler it would be without all these modern electrics - lets go back to the starting handle, how about acetylene (sp?) lights. Starting handle would be easy to repair or the local blacksmith could make another.
Oh, and keep the comments about Citroen electrics coming 'cos they are interesting news - I've owned Cits for the last 18 years and had a few bad electrical incident - a couple of headlight, brake light and number plate bulbs to replace, oh and one ABS sensor on a Xantia. Now that's unreliable.
Phil
Luddites of the world unite - Aprilia
As I mentioned earlier, I've been working in automotive electronics for the best part of 20 years.

Over the past few decades manufacturing quality has improved enormously. Posters mention cars of the 60's breaking down frequently. Many of those breakdowns were the result of poor materials and manufacturing processes.

Modern cars are much more complex, and they do break down quite frequently. I have seen data on breakdowns for certain manufacturers and for some models (I won't mention which manfrs!) more than 10% break down and have to be recovered in the first year of warranty. Electrical failure, of some description, is usually the most common reason for breakdown.
I have data of ECU failure rates from a major ECU manufacturer. They use the FIT (Failures In Time - failed units per billion hours of operation) methodology. To cut short a long story, for this particular engine management ECU, after 5 years approx. 1% of ECU's will have failed - that's a lot of ECU's. Having worked in the industry, however, I know that the burning question is 'will is get through warranty?', if the answer is yes then people don't ask too many more questions.

Another issue is component quality. Toyota accept about 5ppm defect parts from their suppliers - Ford are just coming down to 70ppm (from above 100). Goodness knows what Renault are working at - they are known for having the lowest supplier costs in the industry (a Megane costs considerably less to manufacture than a Focus for this reason).

As for BMW/MB/Ford producing electronics that work reliably for 12 years (mentioned above), this is simply not the case. BMWs of this age are bedevilled with electrical faults. In the fact the E32/E34 series were an electrical nightmare and the quality of some of the electronics was very poor.

I remember an amusing incident a couple of years back when we had a car for some technical evaluation work. It was froma well know prestige manfr (I won't mention which). It was a standard car off the line - but wouldn't run right (emissions were too high). We checked sensors, looked for fault codes etc. manfr. told us to take it to a dealer and they would sort it. Anyway, it still wouldn't run right - and we were being paid £3000+ per day hanging around waiting for it to be fixed. Manfr. then sends one of their top men from the factory, along with a truck full of parts. He couldn't fix it. Eventually they took it back to the factory and gave us another car!
Luddites of the world unite - teabelly
Ah, that explains why toyotas don't go wrong so much!

I'd love to see that data :-) Shame you can't accidentally on purpose drop it in HJ's direction and hopefully he will let us know some of the juicier bits!
teabelly
Luddites of the world unite - Aprilia
I think that there are a lot of people in the industry who know what the figures are. After all, there are only so many suppliers and lots of people 'move around'.
Let's just say that if you want a car that is going to be as reliable as modern automotive technology will allow, then choose a Japanese car. The quality of their electronics is second to none (honed in the consumer electronics market) and they seem to go in for less of this ECU 'coding' than the Europeans - i.e. you can take systems apart, put them back together, and it all works. Do that with a European design and the ECUs take a lot of persuading to 'talk' to each other - the electronic Diesels are a real pain for that - try swapping a pump over!.

The downside of Japanese ownership is that its all so reliable that when things do go wrong no one has the experience to fix it and there is not much of a parallel market in non-service spares because they are so seldom needed.
Luddites of the world unite - Vin {P}
"To cut short a long story, for this particular engine management ECU, after 5 years approx. 1% of ECU's will have failed"

The figure I've been waiting for:

SO, let's take an ECU at £750 (reasonable or excessive?). Thus, if 100 people drive the car with that ECU, the cost per car is £7.50, or £1.50 per year.

This, I feel proves one of the points of my argument, that despite having a big headline cost, it's cheaper overall than all of those hundred people having to reset their timing every couple of months [weeks/days depending on vehicle].

No doubt the luddites will say "But what if it's *your* ECU that goes?" True, but what if I'm in the 99% of people who WON'T suffer the problem? Should we go back to the point where everyone suffers minor hassle rather than the odd person suffering major hassle? Also, bear in mind that the minor hassle suffered by people in the past included horrors like being stranded in Stoke. Do you know what that's like?

V

PS. I must also ask what proportion of ECU failures come from people like my Father-in-law who was determined to steam clean his engine bay as it was "a bit grimy". The only thing that stopped him was when I pointed out it could cost him £500 if he damaged the ECU.


Luddites of the world unite - madf
Vin {p} said "Also, bear in mind that the minor hassle suffered by people in the past included horrors like being stranded in Stoke. Do you know what that's like?"

err yes: I've lived in Biddulph (as north of Stoke as you can get.. altho on edge of contryside:-) for past 20 years....

lol

Personally I think the British in particular are very resistant to change.. and like to look back with fond memories forgetting all the bad ones..

Today a car is expected to do 100k miles in 3 years , burn no oil and then be good for another 50k at least before any major repairs.

My Motor handbook of 1938 talked about decarbonising engines after 10,000 miles..

My Car Mechanics magazines in the 1960s and 1979s gaily talked of rebuilding engines, repairing rust etc on cars 5-8 years old.

Whilst I recognise cars are built down to a cost, they are for most people a fashion accessory (lifestyle, status) and sold after 2-3 years.

The good news is for those who don't care you can buy a 5 year old car with under 40k miles, a fsh, in immaculate condition for under 30% of the new price. Yes.. it takes some finding but it can be done with search engines..

and it will last another 10 years.

That is progress.. (and PS look at 1980s fuel consumption and emissions versus today's cars).

BUT avoid complex overdesigned poorly built cars.. eg BMW 7 series,






madf


Luddites of the world unite - Vin {P}
Madf, you know a chappie called Ade (Adrian)? Dreadlocks when I last saw him (ten years ago) rode a CBX1000 streetfighter with no silencers. He still alive and running if you do recognise him? Last I knew he lived in Manchester and Biddulph equally.

V
Luddites of the world unite - Andrew-T
"(and PS look at 1980s fuel consumption and emissions versus today's cars)". OK:

1962 1100 mentioned above, touring round Western US in '64: 44mpg.

1993 Pug 205 1.4: 44mpg, not many short or very long trips.

2000 Clio 1.6 16v, admittedly used for shopping in between occasional long runs: 42-43mpg overall.

So although not a fully equal comparison, most of the advances in engine design to reduce consumption have been cancelled out by making cars heavier and adding lots of power-consuming gizmos. The main plus is the improved emissions - I can always smell a 1980s car when it passes!
Luddites of the world unite - Mapmaker
I don't know whether I may take the liberty of drawing a conclusion or two from the above.

1a. Old cars didn't last. timing reset once a week, rust within 5 years, design life maybe 70k if you were lucky.

1b. New cars don't tend to drift out of tune so regularly, rust prevention is superb, 100k is a doddle, many will do twice that without blinking, and 'everybody' knows somebody who has got 250k out of a Cavalier, and 500k out of a MB or VW.

2a. Old cars could generally be fixed with a cigarette packet. Which is just as well, as you might be stuck in Stoke.

2b. New cars often cannot be fixed even by the manufacturer, as they are so complicated. Fine whilst they keep themselves running OK, but disastrous when they stop. If that happens when you're in Stoke, you're Stuck. AA cannot help either, as they do not carry replacement parts.

TENTATIVE CONCLUSION: If we could put a 'nice & simple' engine, but made in a modern factory with 5ppm reliability, into a modern rust-free shell then we would have motoring heaven.

This, I suppose then begs the question 'what is it that makes a modern car reliable?' Is it because it has hydraulic self-adjusting tappets, or is it because it is cheap & easy to mass produce parts to a much closer tolerance than used to be the case.

What we have done is to move away from items that can be repaired, to items that have to be replaced. A turn of the screw & some emery paper on points, and away you go. Now you pull out the old ecu, and put in a new one.

Maybe I am a Luddite. (I am 31.) It's a fear of the unknown. When I stuck my head under my '92 Audi for the first time I almost had a heart attack, as I didn't recognise half of the things under the bonnet. An '04 Megane doesn't have anything to recognise, you cannot even see the battery! Informed consumers like to see things they recognise. Man on Clapham omnibus doesn't care.
Luddites of the world unite - madf
Vin: No, unknown to me.

mapmaker.. why should you HAVE to recognise anything apart from fluid recptacles.

I use computers and know what a motherboard is but have no idea what the bits are whci make it.. and have no need to.

We used to live in a world where no knowledge of car = vast expense and failure of car to run.
Today - look at Audi A2.. no engine to see..

Long may it continue. Cars are to be driven washed, cleaned and polished.. NOT to be repaired.

Rant over: why did I change the driveshaft on SWMBO's Peugeot 106 myself 2 weeks ago? Cos I'm a mean Scot.. and I'm stuck in Stoke...

(nothing wrong with Stoke that a good football team won't cure:-)



madf