Why does the absence/presence of a chain act as the clincher? Belt changes on the 1.5 are either 72,000 or 100,000 miles. Basically, you're looking at a one-off charge of £300-400 to change it over the lifetime of ownership.Factor it in to your comparison then forget about it.
I know HJ thinks chains are maintainance free, but they when they go wrong (which admittedly isn't that likely), they can be very expensive.
Only you can decide how much you'll miss the extra oompf of the 2.0, but don't don't be tempted to contrive economic arguments about the 1.5's running costs: It'll be the cheaper engine!
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