When is best to chop in for a new car? - stunorthants26
I was wondering in my mind if one keeps a car for 1,2 or 3 years, so it is in warranty period, how much it is likely to loose in value and at which point is best to get a new one again? It would certainly reduce the need for an overlly reliable car.

What with the current trend against CO2, Im thinking that if it is affordable, perhaps keeping with an up to date car is not a bad idea, but it really depends on what it costs.

How much per year should one put aside to replace a car that costs say £9000 after 1,2 or 3 years? Id replace the car every year if it didnt cost much. You only see figures for three years on depreciation - are some cars better than otehrs with initial depreciation?
Im thinking because back in '96 my dad bought an Impreza and sold it back to the dealer after two years 30k with a loss on purchase price of just £4000. Maybe it was an exception to the rule however.

Are there some cars that make good short term purchases, or atleast better than others?
When is best to chop in for a new car? - tyro
Are there some cars that make good short term purchases or at least better than others?


Honda Jazz certainly had a reputation for keeping its value very well. With a new one due out soon, this might be less the case for one bought now.
When is best to chop in for a new car? - T Lucas
If its a worry lease/PCP at the lowest price you can find.As an individual you will rarely beat those figures.
When is best to chop in for a new car? - JH
Stu
I was going to put in a flippant answer like "just after winning the lottery" but you're obviously very serious about this. Are you really that concerned about being in warranty? Modern cars are pretty darned reliable and there comes a point where, if it all goes horribly wrong, you can afford to say "so what" and walk away from it. You could buy an independent warranty when the manufacturer's expires and enjoy riding the gentler slopes of the depreciation curve.

I do like cars but I don't like handing over huge sums of money for a new one and watching the value shrivel like a grape left in the sun.

For maintaining their value in the short term, and ignoring exotica, I guess you're looking at...a MINI? Anything else?

JH
When is best to chop in for a new car? - Ruperts Trooper
Define "best".

If you mean cheapest, then it's the longest time possible before any predictable repair bills. This will vary according to a model's reliability record but I'd suggest 5-8 years at average mileage. To get a really cheap, reliable, car buy a 3 year old and sell it at 8.

Changing after 3 years will give annual depreciation as your major cost factor - at 1 or 2 years the annual cost will rocket.

For me the "functional performance" is the prime factor in choosing a car - it's pointless buying a low depreciation car that doesn't do the job you need.
When is best to chop in for a new car? - Paul I
Having worked at a Fleet management company the best point is between years 7-9 !! as this is when the cars stops depreciating at a significant rate and repair/servicing costs are typically bigger.

Everyone forgets the typicall depreciation on a car is over 2K per year; people only think that their HP Loan is 12 x £250 and forget that the car is losing close to that without you writing any cheques regard less of payment method.
When is best to chop in for a new car? - Leif
Having worked at a Fleet management company the best point is between years 7-9 !!
as this is when the cars stops depreciating at a significant rate and repair/servicing costs
are typically bigger.



I was going to say something similar.

It seems to me that modern small cars are made to last about 7 years at least. After that they start to go wrong, some more frequently than others, and the costs can add up. When big things go wrong, that might be the time to change. But if the car is driving nicely, hang on to it for as long as it hangs together. To change after a few years seems like madness to my fiscally prudent (mean) mentally.

The calculation is simple. A new small car costs maybe £6K. So over 6 years the purchase cost/year is about £1K. Servicing costs are low for the first 3 years, helped by the manufacturer's warranty, and even after 6 years they should not be too bad if the car is looked after, and a bit of luck is on your side. After 9 years the purchase cost/year is about £666. So if servicing costs approach £700/year, it might make sense to change. Of course this all depends on the brand of car, the reliability, and the cost of servicing.

I guess part of the game is to buy low in the first place, from discount brokers etc. I see that places like Trade Sales of Slough sell nearly new cars at massive discounts, and I wonder if these have been thrashed, and hence the lifetime shortened?
When is best to chop in for a new car? - stunorthants26
Yes I am concerned about a car being within warranty. Modern cars are not reliable, not as far as I can see, but if it is within warranty, someone else has the hassle of fixing it and paying for it when it does go wrong.

I have a customer who has Range Rovers - last one she had needed new back axle at 25k, the current one, which has 6k on the clock made a loud bang and expired in the town centre. I also have a customer with an Audi Q7 with suspension issues at 14k.
And they are £60k cars, so yes, I want a warranty!

Im not so much interested in the long term costs - my misses and I can afford to save up approx £150 a month ( £1800 a year ) to put towards our next car after we buy the initial car in the summer for approx £9k. We are happy to pay for this as we decided we would like to treat ourselves every few years to a new car.

That means that effectively, we can afford a £9k car that depreciates by £5400 over three years and replace it with the latest eqiv model at that point. Or alternatively, if we can find a model that only looses £3600 over two years, we would change it then.
I have no idea at this stage whether any small car looses £5400 of its value in 3 years tbh and if infact it was the case that it lost less than that, all the better.
I did look at the Mini One - very impressive on the depreciation front AND since we arent planning kids for 3 years, maybe it would be a good treat for ourselves - while the initial outlay is higher, we would also get a much larger chunk of that outlay back come trade in time so the cost over 3 years would be quite low.

When is best to chop in for a new car? - Leif
Im not so much interested in the long term costs - my misses and I
can afford to save up approx £150 a month ( £1800 a year ) to
put towards our next car after we buy the initial car in the summer for
approx £9k. We are happy to pay for this as we decided we would like
to treat ourselves every few years to a new car.



I'm curious why a new car is a treat? Seems to me a car is for going from A to B in a comfortable and reliable manner. Or maybe I'm missing the point. ;)
When is best to chop in for a new car? - jbif
I'm curious why a new car is a treat?


You need to read the previous two volumes.
www.honestjohn.co.uk/forum/post/index.htm?t=58191&...f
www.honestjohn.co.uk/forum/post/index.htm?t=58304&...f
When is best to chop in for a new car? - stunorthants26
A car to me, esp this one, is to be enjoyed. We have decided to keep the old Rover diesel for the misses to go to work in as she will park in town - now its fixed, it should cost too much to run each year as the rest of the car is in good nick.
As such, Im taking some of the advice from previous threads about the boredom threashold and as its affordable to me and the misses, we decided we would do this instead.
We get a new car every two or three years and can also get something interesting if we fancy it. I am a car-guy and love cars as a hobby rather than just A-B transport. My misses isnt into cars but she does love driving and knows what she likes when she sees it car-wise.
We both absolutely love the buying process too. Honestly, Im very tempted by the Mini, Fiat 500 or Renault Twingo but never really know until you have a close look at something.

We think of it as a treat to ourselves, much in the same way as people spend loads on golf, home decor or holidays ( we do cheap ones in the UK ).


When is best to chop in for a new car? - Leif
We think of it as a treat to ourselves much in the same way as
people spend loads on golf home decor or holidays ( we do cheap ones in
the UK ).


Cheers. I was just curious. I too have ways to spend money ...
When is best to chop in for a new car? - oilrag
From volume 1, 7th December

" I'd put money on your buying again within 3 years."
Fri 7 Dec 07 20:57

Long term new car purchase - stunorthants26, 7th December
"I couldnt afford to, its a one-time money offer, ten grand cash to buy a car, hence I want to get the decision right." ( 15 to 20 years car plan)

29th December
"We get a new car every two or three years and can also get something interesting if we fancy it."




(posted with warmth and humour ;)

Regards

Edited by oilrag on 30/12/2007 at 10:23

When is best to chop in for a new car? - ForumNeedsModerating
There may a danger, OP, that over-analysis of this may rob you of the hedonistic pleasure of the treat you have in store (..as I gather from your related threads on these topics..) & you'll be left in the position where the 'operation was a success but the patient died' , if you see my point.

Most cars don't suffer horrendous mechanical failures, so this near-fetish over 'manufacturer warranty' is limiting you to new cars that cost ~£10K & may compromise not only your functional requirement parameters, but also the buzz factor. A suitable used car @ 2-3 years old will have shed 40-50% of list price & be within you budget, more than adequate funcionally & something you'll look over your shoulder at every time you park it up - the acid test in my view ;)

When is best to chop in for a new car? - stunorthants26
We have changed our spending plans somewhat from our original idea of keeping car long term. Holidays have lost out and we are going conservative and buying a 2-bed house rather than 3.

I see what your saying woodbines but in my experience, cars that are either new or under £1k have given me the most pleasure. I consider buying a used car the eqiv to buying in a charity shop, just without the charity.
So if its very cheap, I dont mind that someone else has had it before but otherwise its just expensive secondhand goods.

Every car ive bought inbetween new and banger has been unsatisfying for one reason or another and silly as it may sound, but if I part with a decent wad of cash, I hate the idea of someone else having driven it - im very posessive over my cars - when my dad suggested that when his Astra dies, he shud use my Rover - I said not a chance so he is going to buy another car instead!

This car that I get is most likely going to get very light use for the most part and will be cosseted ( the car valeter in me ). As I said, we can afford it and its what we want to do, so the question isnt really should we, but more what should we buy?

I am, I must confess, extremely drawn to the Fiat 500 and all the options/personalisation you can do.
When is best to chop in for a new car? - Ruperts Trooper
As I said we can afford it and its what we want to do so the question isnt really
should we but more what should we buy?

As you can afford it, buy what YOU want - you're going to drive it, not us !!
When is best to chop in for a new car? - hxj

The latest modelling I have seen says around 90,000 miles from new, regardless of age.

On age it tends to be about six years.
When is best to chop in for a new car? - T Lucas
For around £150 a month you can easily afford a new car from the likes of Lings cars,no worries with depriciation or change over cycles.What could be easier?
When is best to chop in for a new car? - Hugh Watt
I think that's a genius solution for the OP. Never having heard of Ling's Cars, I took a look at her website... What a hoot! The Chinese are coming...
When is best to chop in for a new car? - Paul I
Whats this love affair with warranty ? Stu please beware the Fiat 500 is a fine car unfortunately Fiat's in this country suffer from awfull depreciation and Fiat UK have always used low rate finance as a way to buy market share.

Fiat UK are also one of the slowest to pay their dealers for warranty work to the point where dealers will do anything not to submit a claim because they will put a technician on a Job where they will get a vey low "internal rate" against say another customer @ £85 per hour plus parts profit etc.

It isn't just Fiat all markers are at it including those who was the by word of customer satisfaction ie Toyota, Honda etc Recent posts on here back this up
When is best to chop in for a new car? - stunorthants26
Your prob right about Fiat. It was just an idea.

But even so, what kind of lunatic wants to spend nine grand on a car and have zero comeback if it goes wrong? That is very much the point of having a warranty.

I owned a Daewoo which had a very comprehensive warranty package - I found it took the stress away when the odd thing did go wrong over the 3 years I owned the car.

Why is it such a ridiculous concept to want a new car with a warranty? If it didnt have one, people would complain and if nobody bought new cars, the used market would have no new stock.
When is best to chop in for a new car? - Ruperts Trooper
Consumer legislation gives comeback on all used cars - in relation to age and price paid.

I've just spent £15,000 on an 18 month old Subaru - it has 18 months warranty left - if anything fails after that I'll have to pay for it myself but that's no big deal given the £11,000 saving I've made on the new price..

In any case, Warranty Direct will gladly sell you a warranty package for virtually any car, however old.
When is best to chop in for a new car? - stunorthants26
Thats £15,000 on a secondhand car yet im wrong for spending less than £10,000 on a brand new car?
Depreciation is something you accept when you buy a new car. I also run a banger so thats far better value than the Subaru, but it doesnt mean the Subaru isnt worth the extra. To me, a new car is worth the extra just like your Subaru is worth the extra over a rusty '89 Legacy.
When is best to chop in for a new car? - Ruperts Trooper
Stu - I bought the Subaru to do the job I need doing (4wd estate), I suggest you do the same, ie buy a car that does the job you need doing.

I think you should stop prevaricating and decide what sort of car you want - when you've done that just buy a 1-2 year old from a main dealer, with 1-2 years manufacturers warranty left, and keep it for 6-7 years. That will be the most cost-effective way of getting the car you want.
When is best to chop in for a new car? - Paul I
Why is it such a ridiculous concept to want a new car with a warranty?


Stu it's not .... your right but I am trying to point out that all makers are making very hard at present, the benefit of doubt and good will have died !! Ford with TDCI's Renault with Turbo etc the list goes on. Equally I know of a Ford car where the engine sized at 3 years old it hadn't been serviced since day one but it's mindless onwer still tried to persue a warranty claim.
If it didnt have one people would complain and if nobody bought new cars the
used market would have no new stock.


Very few cars registered are "Private motorist" most are either lease cars, rentals or pre reg, if we don't buy one then it's no worry to the maker they will just have to pre-reg one more.
When is best to chop in for a new car? - Ed V
Well well well!! After the longest thread in history discussing keeping a car for 5,000 years, here we are three weeks later wondering about when to chop and change! Ain't life grand!
When is best to chop in for a new car? - stunorthants26
I shall post no longer then lol. Sorry for exploring options, will ask elsewhere.
When is best to chop in for a new car? - Avant
Stu - don't be put off by people who can't understand where you're coming from. Listen to people like Ruperts Trooper who can -

"As you can afford it, buy what YOU want - you're going to drive it, not us !! "

I've had new cars every 3 years or so since 1971. It hasn't always been the most sensible thing to do financially, but (even though I'm a chartered accountant) I personally believe that there are lots of others issues as well. You want a new car; you're being given some money by your grandma who wants you to enjoy what it will buy; you clearly know quite a lot about cars so GO FOR IT. I'm sure you'll make a good purchase.

If you don't need the room, a Fiat 500 should be fun (some testers say the 1.2 is nippier than the 1.4); so should a Suzuki Swift 1.5 which is a lot of car for the money. I enjoyed a Mitsubishi Colt as a loan car more than I expected. SWMBO has a Mini One which we both love, but the new ones only have a 1.4 engine and discounts are hard to come by.

Keep posting and let us know how you get on.
When is best to chop in for a new car? - stunorthants26
Thankyou Avant. I guess because I have time on my side, Im taking a while to weigh up different approaches. It often amazes me in BR that if you say ' I want a Mondeo, any recommendations on which model is best?' the vast majority of answers will be suggesting alternative makes instead.

I think id like to stretch to the Mini, just it is very expensive. Im actually tempted by the Smart, which ive owned before, the residuals are pretty solid for short term ownership and they have improved it since I owned mine. I actually have a scret desire for the frankly absurd Brabus version although id have to go secondhand to own one of them, it does tug at me on the occasion I see one.
I do want it to be a fairly short term ownership proposition, so I guess residuals are going to be a big factor.
One thing i was wondering - on a car that say looses 45% over the 3 years/36k, how much is lost in first year and then second year?
When is best to chop in for a new car? - Ruperts Trooper
Stu - look at What Car Depreciation Index - it shows the depreciation, in £s, for the first 4 years of a vehicle's life and allows comparison of up to 4 different cars/models.

Most cars drop steeply in their first year and adopt a steady slope thereafter.
When is best to chop in for a new car? - stunorthants26
Many Thanks RT, that should give me the info im after.

One question though - I take it that the depreciation figures are based on list price, not the discounted price? Just I see that Ford are offering huge sums off the Fiesta for instance, so does this counter the poor depreciation or just make it worse still?

Citroen are also doing a lot of deals at my local dealer right now, thousands off even the small cars. So would a discounted new car be worth as a trade-in or is it just done off book?
When is best to chop in for a new car? - Ruperts Trooper
At trade-in time the valuation will be based on book AT THAT TIME, regardless of what was actually paid for the vehicle.

Any discount off list price will reduce first year depreciation HOWEVER if the manufacturer continues to discount heavily, it will reduce future residuals BUT if the manufacturer has always discounted then current residuals will have already taken that into account.

Predicting future residual values isn't a precise science as it depends on product development and customer demand, both of which can defy predictions!
When is best to chop in for a new car? - Ed V
I'm allowed to be amused am I not?!! Stiffen up and don't let me put you off getting great advice on here. It seems to me though thaI'm in the US at the moment visiting family and I always note how completely Americans simply don't care about private transport. They run all their cars forever on high profile tyres, with sofr suspension and cruise around happily at up to 60. Most cars look 6-10 years old. My brothers has done 200,000 miles [Toyota something], and a Volvo at 120,000. So different to UK market!
When is best to chop in for a new car? - MichaelR
I have two main criteria for replacing my car:

a) When I become bored with it and fancy a change
b) When I can afford something that will be an order of magnitude better to replace it with.

This criteria becomes increasingly harder to satisfy as I move up the car ladder :(
When is best to chop in for a new car? - oilrag
Re the Fiat 500. I`m a Fiat fan as you know, but even I would balk at a new model straight off the line.
I would want to see what build faults were coming off the line and more specifically, how long Fiat take to resolve any. It seemed there were issues around that with the new Grande Punto, for example.

The way I tend to to go, is to draw up a criteria, then see what fits.

For me thats

1)Galvanising (seemingly ruling out Japanese and some Fords)

2) No cambelt

3)Hydraulic tappets


and so on......


Happy new Year ! hope you find what you want Stu ;)


When is best to chop in for a new car? - Ruperts Trooper
Interesting criteria
1) Do galvanised European cars last longer than non-galvanised Japanese ones?
2) How frequently do cambelts fail IF they're changed at the correct frequency? Is it more than camchains, some of which do need periodic replacement?
3) Hydraulic tappets - agreed, but only reliable on engines where the oil change interval/quality is adhered to.
When is best to chop in for a new car? - oilrag
Just `subjective` personal choice ;)

When is best to chop in for a new car? - jbif
As someone suggested, someone like www.lingscars.com/car-leasing.php is the route to go.
If Stu invests the £10000 cash in an account that pays 3.6% net interest, he will have £360 a year = £30 a month to add to his £150 a month budget. So with £180 a month total, the MINI is within striking distance. Remember that Ling includes free road tax and AA cover. She also recommends that customers save on servicing costs by using Independent garages.
If Stu buys the car for his Valet business use, he can save on VAT too, and the MINI is then just under £160 for a 2 year @10,000 annual miles deal.
When is best to chop in for a new car? - jbif
Re the 3.6% net interest. Apparently according to Martin Lewis, you can do a lot better.
www.moneysavingexpert.com/savings/savings-accounts...t
" NS&I, the government backed savings organisation, has Index Linked Savings ...
This means it pays 5.45% overall.
A further bonus is these savings are totally tax-free, meaning that to get the same interest from another account, basic rate taxpayers would have to be earning 6.81%, and higher rate a huge 9.08%. "
So in effect, Stu can earn £45 per month which brings his spending power to £195 a month. And all the while his £10,000 stays banked!
Alternatively, as someone suggested on the original thread, Stu could try his luck on Premium Bonds while leasing his brand new cars and changing them every 2 years. Leasing would remove the worry of depreciation from his calculations.
When is best to chop in for a new car? - Ruperts Trooper
If Stu invested £10,000 into a Maxi ISA (over two years or using partner's £7,000 allowance as well) and bought equity income units trusts, such as Jupiter Income or Invesco Perpetual Income, he'd get 3+% tax-free dividend annually AND tax-free capital gains far exceeding inflation, thus increasing the dividend even further - that's even taking bad years like 2007 into account.
When is best to chop in for a new car? - jbif
If Stu invested £10,000 into a Maxi ISA


If I was that clever with money, I would know that the capital is not guaranteed and that it can go up, and it can go down, and that it does not make sense to buy or lease new cars even if you are as rich as Warren Buffet or even Bill Gates who prefer to own and run old used cars.
Do remember that a Financial Advisor would probably not advise someone earning the levels of basic minimum wage to invest in unit trusts. According to his previous thread, Stu is currently earning £800 per Month (not clear whether that is net profit, or gross income before costs, from his Valet business).
When is best to chop in for a new car? - quizman
To answer the original question, you should swap your car just before it goes wrong big time.