Some are more intelligent than others. VW group cars, with petrol engines at least, do seem to take into account the current throttle demand. My Octavia doesn't suggest changing up until about 4500rpm if the accelerator is flat on the floor, but (correctly from a fuel consumption perspective) will tell me to go into 6th when travelling on a slight downhill at 30.
By contrast, my Kangoo van, and a 1st generation i30 I had for a while both seemed to just have a look up table of speeds and gears. It was something like up to 5mph in first, 10mph in 2nd, 20mph in third etc. and told you that was the gear to select regardless.
The problem with even the intelligent systems (and automatic gearboxes) is that they don't look out of the front window and see the hill, corner, or errant pedestrian in the road ahead, all of which a reasonably skilled driver will take into account when selecting which gear to be in.
Fortunately the display of this seems to be getting less rather than more intrusive in current cars - the original i30 was a particularly bad example with a huge blue arrow about half the size of the Speedo which was really distracting, particularly as it was often wrong so you couldn't change gear to get rid of it!!
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